Christian Watson

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	GB	8	0	0	0	66	42	708	6	✓ matches
2025	GB	10	1	3	0	55	35	611	6	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	GB	1	0	0	0	7	3	36	1
2024	GB	14	4	23	0	53	29	620	2	not checked
2023	GB	9	4	11	0	53	28	422	5	not checked
2023 playoffs	GB	2	0	0	0	3	2	20	0
2022	GB	14	7	80	2	66	41	611	7	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+0.463

29th of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

50.0%

84th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

10.73

12th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

19.7%

11th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

63.6%

111st of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

13.4

26th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

4.5%

126th of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

9.1%

26th of 166 · lg 4.8%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

+1.58 EPA/target leading by 1–8 vs +0.13 the rest of the time (15 vs 51; league gap +0.01; z +3.1) mostly noise · r -0.03
+1.32 EPA/target over the middle vs +0.06 the rest of the time (21 vs 45; league gap +0.16; z +2.7) mostly noise · r -0.02
-0.08 EPA/target on short throws vs +1.00 the rest of the time (33 vs 33; league gap -0.06; z -2.7) mostly noise · r 0.09

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	36	+0.487	50%	11.6	+0.197	30/116	-0.02
Away	30	+0.433	50%	9.7	+0.190	29/116	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	20	+0.167	55%	10.4	+0.265	7/7	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	35	+0.441	40%	8.7	+0.174	29/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	3	+1.624	100%	15.7	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	16	+0.743	56%	12.8	+0.206	3/56	0.05
Outdoors	50	+0.373	48%	10.1	+0.187	35/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	21	-0.085	43%	6.5	+0.210	44/54	-0.02
80°F+	3	+1.624	100%	15.7	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	24	+0.129	50%	7.7	+0.215	36/56	-0.09
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	39	+0.575	54%	11.9	+0.203	19/129	0.03
Rain or snow	11	-0.341	27%	3.7	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	10	-0.057	70%	11.1	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	18	+0.215	39%	8.7	+0.180	32/63	0.07
Tied	15	+0.283	40%	8.8	+0.186	15/29	0.02
Leading 1–8	15	+1.579	67%	18.7	+0.202	1/32	-0.03
Leading 9+	8	-0.085	38%	3.4	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	8	+0.049	75%	10.5	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	46	+0.666	48%	12.5	+0.195	17/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	12	-0.040	42%	3.9	+0.221	12/15	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	15	+0.992	47%	13.6	+0.119	4/31	0.04
Q2	19	+0.580	53%	11.8	+0.208	15/63	-0.01
Q3	14	+0.057	36%	9.3	+0.200	25/36	-0.01
Q4	18	+0.214	61%	8.3	+0.223	31/51	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	6	+0.339	33%	6.5	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	60	+0.475	52%	11.2	+0.199	29/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	20	+0.719	55%	12.7	+0.227	4/78	0.00
2nd down	23	+0.333	52%	8.9	+0.189	32/81	0.02
3rd down	21	+0.369	43%	10.5	+0.134	19/50	-0.02
4th down	2	+0.385	50%	14.0	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	5	+0.575	80%	9.8	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	4	-1.673	0%	3.2	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	12	+0.964	42%	13.2	+0.081	1/8	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	6	+1.401	67%	18.7	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	32	+0.313	47%	11.8	+0.162	43/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	21	+0.525	48%	9.2	+0.238	18/59	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	7	+0.158	57%	3.9	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	55	+0.481	49%	11.2	+0.173	25/161	-0.02
Under center	11	+0.371	55%	8.5	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	55	+0.570	51%	11.4	+0.195	13/166	-0.00
No huddle	11	-0.075	45%	7.5	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	11	-0.053	64%	7.5	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	10	-0.647	30%	2.9	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	32	+0.855	50%	13.7	+0.208	5/144	0.03
11+ to go	13	+0.789	54%	12.2	+0.055	1/11	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	2	-0.893	0%	0.0	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	33	-0.076	45%	4.9	+0.162	93/116	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	18	+0.981	67%	17.0	+0.464	6/42	0.07
Deep (20+)	13	+1.321	46%	18.4	+0.446	2/10	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	24	+0.358	46%	9.5	+0.147	21/84	0.04
Middle	21	+1.321	71%	18.8	+0.321	2/35	-0.02
Right	21	-0.276	33%	4.0	+0.168	93/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	13	+0.384	54%	9.6	+0.287	15/31	-0.03
No play action	53	+0.482	49%	11.0	+0.166	26/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	57	+0.517	51%	11.6	+0.187	16/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	9	+0.123	44%	5.2	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	28	+0.337	46%	11.5	+0.190	30/70	0.08
No blitz	38	+0.556	53%	10.2	+0.194	25/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	1	-0.664	0%	0.0	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	37	+0.589	54%	10.4	+0.198	19/157	0.12
5 rushers	22	+0.080	41%	10.8	+0.186	25/36	0.15
6+ rushers	6	+1.279	67%	14.0	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	29	+0.354	41%	8.6	+0.172	43/151	-0.04
7 in the box	23	+0.419	57%	13.8	+0.214	15/53	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	14	+0.760	57%	10.1	+0.313	1/1	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	66	+0.463	50%	10.7	+0.223	37/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	40	+0.539	45%	10.9	+0.204	20/140	0.10
No motion	26	+0.346	58%	10.5	+0.179	36/97	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	3	+0.220	33%	2.3	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	63	+0.474	51%	11.1	+0.200	30/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	GB	66	+0.463	+30.5	50.0%	10.73	63.6%	13.4	4.7

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.