Jaylen Warren

RB · PIT · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	PIT	8	119	704	2	36	25	294	1	1 differ (Targets 36 vs 35)
2025	PIT	16	211	958	6	45	40	333	2	✓ matches
2025 playoffs	PIT	1	12	43	0	1	1	4	0
2024	PIT	15	120	511	1	47	38	310	0	not checked
2024 playoffs	PIT	1	2	6	0	5	4	19	0
2023	PIT	17	149	784	4	74	61	370	0	not checked
2023 playoffs	PIT	1	8	38	0	2	2	16	0
2022	PIT	16	77	379	1	33	28	214	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

-0.003

119th of 166 · lg +0.193

Success rate

44.4%

114th of 166 · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

8.17

55th of 166 · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

11.1%

57th of 166 · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

69.4%

74th of 166 · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

-1.0

154th of 166 · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

2.8%

86th of 166 · lg 2.7%

TD rate

2.8%

111st of 166 · lg 4.8%

Notable in 2026

His biggest gaps between one situation and the rest of his plays, beyond the league's own gap there (|z| ≥ 2.5). Many splits get checked, so some of these are luck; the badge says whether that kind of split repeats year to year.

+0.69 EPA/target on 1st down vs -0.78 the rest of the time (19 vs 17; league gap +0.05; z +2.7) mostly noise · r 0.00
-0.30 EPA/carry off tackle vs +0.28 the rest of the time (31 vs 88; league gap +0.02; z -2.5) mostly noise · r -0.00

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	18	-0.141	39%	9.1	+0.197	100/116	-0.02
Away	14	+0.084	50%	6.8	+0.190	74/116	-0.03
Neutral site	4	+0.308	50%	9.0	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	6	+0.132	50%	5.5	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	18	+0.052	50%	8.2	+0.174	98/151	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	6	+0.520	33%	14.5	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	4	+0.308	50%	9.0	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	32	-0.042	44%	8.1	+0.187	110/137	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	20	-0.099	50%	7.2	+0.210	46/54	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	10	-0.499	40%	6.1	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	10	+0.301	60%	8.2	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	32	-0.042	44%	8.1	+0.203	104/129	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	7	-0.057	43%	6.7	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	10	+0.647	60%	14.0	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	10	-0.058	40%	7.7	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	8	-0.637	38%	3.8	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	1	-0.521	0%	0.0	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	8	-0.132	38%	5.9	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	26	+0.066	50%	9.3	+0.195	97/151	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	2	-0.392	0%	2.0	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	12	-0.213	42%	11.1	+0.119	26/31	0.04
Q2	10	-0.111	30%	5.7	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	6	-0.374	33%	3.2	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	7	+0.726	71%	10.4	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	1	+0.716	100%	12.0	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	3	-0.456	0%	0.3	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	33	+0.038	48%	8.9	+0.199	114/165	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	19	+0.692	63%	13.1	+0.227	7/78	0.00
2nd down	12	-0.689	25%	2.5	+0.189	80/81	0.02
3rd down	5	-1.002	20%	3.2	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	1	-1.461	0%	0.0	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	1	-1.727	0%	0.0	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	3	-0.607	33%	5.3	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	5	+1.156	60%	20.2	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	17	-0.421	35%	5.2	+0.162	109/115	0.04
Opp 21–49	10	+0.209	50%	8.9	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	4	-0.206	50%	3.8	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	28	-0.043	46%	8.2	+0.173	119/161	-0.02
Under center	8	+0.135	38%	7.9	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	34	-0.005	44%	8.4	+0.195	119/166	-0.00
No huddle	2	+0.025	50%	4.5	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	3	-0.981	0%	0.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	3	-1.059	0%	0.0	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	28	+0.219	54%	10.2	+0.208	74/144	0.03
11+ to go	2	-0.073	50%	4.0	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	21	-0.248	48%	5.9	-0.209	15/25	0.15
Short (0–9)	15	+0.339	40%	11.4	+0.162	41/116	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	0	—	—	—	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	0	—	—	—	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	12	-0.410	25%	4.5	+0.147	80/84	0.04
Middle	7	+0.663	57%	11.7	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	17	+0.009	53%	9.3	+0.168	64/102	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	7	+0.242	43%	8.4	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	29	-0.063	45%	8.1	+0.166	123/160	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	35	-0.059	43%	7.9	+0.187	128/163	-0.05
Out of pocket	1	+1.952	100%	16.0	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	6	-0.141	33%	5.2	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	30	+0.024	47%	8.8	+0.194	103/160	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	30	+0.024	47%	8.8	+0.198	104/157	0.12
5 rushers	6	-0.141	33%	5.2	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	18	-0.659	28%	2.7	+0.172	149/151	-0.04
7 in the box	15	+0.708	60%	14.8	+0.214	6/53	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	3	+0.371	67%	7.7	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	9	-0.497	56%	4.8	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	27	+0.161	41%	9.3	+0.223	101/166	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	14	-0.202	29%	9.3	+0.204	121/140	0.10
No motion	22	+0.123	55%	7.5	+0.179	61/97	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	1	-0.521	0%	0.0	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	35	+0.011	46%	8.4	+0.200	121/166	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	PIT	36	-0.003	-0.1	44.4%	8.17	69.4%	-1.0	13.8

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.