Josh Palmer

WR · BUF · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Rush	Rush yds	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	vs ESPN
2026	BUF	5	0	0	12	4	117	2	✓ matches
2025	BUF	12	0	0	37	22	303	0	✓ matches
2024	LAC	15	0	0	65	39	575	1	not checked
2023	LAC	10	1	6	61	38	581	2	not checked
2022	LAC	16	1	4	107	72	769	3	not checked
2022 playoffs	LAC	1	0	0	6	2	31	0
2021	LAC	15	1	6	49	33	353	4	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Targets

qualifying bar 17

EPA/play

+0.499

not ranked · lg +0.193

Success rate

25.0%

not ranked · lg 49.8%

Yards/play

9.75

not ranked · lg 7.42

Explosive rate

25.0%

not ranked · lg 9.1%

Catch rate

33.3%

not ranked · lg 67.3%

Air yards/att

25.4

not ranked · lg 7.9

Turnover rate

8.3%

not ranked · lg 2.7%

TD rate

16.7%

not ranked · lg 4.8%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Every split

EPA per target by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 12+ targets there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Targets	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	8	-0.007	12%	5.8	+0.197	—	-0.02
Away	4	+1.509	50%	17.8	+0.190	—	-0.03
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.183	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	3	+1.607	33%	14.3	+0.265	—	0.19
Normal (6–8 days)	6	-0.412	17%	6.7	+0.174	—	-0.01
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	0.21
Off a bye (13+ days)	1	-0.486	0%	0.0	+0.271	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	4	+1.509	50%	17.8	+0.206	—	0.05
Outdoors	8	-0.007	12%	5.8	+0.187	—	0.05
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
60–79°F	7	+0.062	14%	6.6	+0.210	—	-0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.213	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	3	+1.607	33%	14.3	+0.215	—	-0.09
10–14 mph	4	-1.097	0%	0.8	+0.200	—	0.05
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	8	-0.007	12%	5.8	+0.203	—	0.03
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.015	—	0.03
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.189	—	-0.01
Trailing 1–8	6	+0.614	33%	12.3	+0.180	—	0.07
Tied	1	-1.501	0%	0.0	+0.186	—	0.02
Leading 1–8	3	+1.479	33%	14.3	+0.202	—	-0.03
Leading 9+	2	-0.320	0%	0.0	+0.243	—	-0.05
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	0	—	—	—	+0.169	—	-0.05
Win prob 20–80%	10	+0.662	30%	11.7	+0.195	—	-0.02
Win prob over 80%	2	-0.320	0%	0.0	+0.221	—	0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	3	+2.475	67%	26.7	+0.119	—	0.04
Q2	4	-0.669	0%	0.0	+0.208	—	-0.01
Q3	1	-0.831	0%	0.0	+0.200	—	-0.01
Q4	4	+0.516	25%	9.2	+0.223	—	-0.03
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	6	+0.203	17%	5.7	+0.159	—	0.10
Rest of game	6	+0.794	33%	13.8	+0.199	—	0.10
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	4	+0.341	25%	10.0	+0.227	—	0.00
2nd down	5	-0.785	0%	0.0	+0.189	—	0.02
3rd down	3	+2.848	67%	25.7	+0.134	—	-0.02
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.374	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	1	-1.501	0%	0.0	+0.163	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	+0.221	—	-0.27
3rd & 7+	2	+5.023	100%	38.5	+0.081	—	0.02
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	0	—	—	—	+0.147	—	-0.04
Own 50–21	8	-0.408	12%	4.6	+0.162	—	0.04
Opp 21–49	4	+2.312	50%	20.0	+0.238	—	0.06
Red zone (opp 20 in)	0	—	—	—	+0.228	—	0.05
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	8	+0.729	25%	9.6	+0.173	—	-0.02
Under center	4	+0.039	25%	10.0	+0.273	—	-0.02
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	12	+0.499	25%	9.8	+0.195	27/167	-0.00
No huddle	0	—	—	—	+0.169	—	-0.00
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	1	-1.501	0%	0.0	+0.250	—	0.05
4–6 to go	3	-0.789	0%	0.0	+0.240	—	0.02
7–10 to go	5	+0.054	20%	8.0	+0.208	—	0.03
11+ to go	3	+3.193	67%	25.7	+0.055	—	-0.07
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	0	—	—	—	-0.209	—	0.15
Short (0–9)	3	-0.323	0%	1.0	+0.162	—	0.09
Intermediate (10–19)	1	-0.536	0%	0.0	+0.464	—	0.07
Deep (20+)	8	+0.936	38%	14.2	+0.446	—	0.01
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	5	-0.778	0%	0.6	+0.147	—	0.04
Middle	3	+2.848	67%	25.7	+0.321	—	-0.02
Right	4	+0.332	25%	9.2	+0.168	—	0.03
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	2	+0.992	50%	18.5	+0.287	—	-0.03
No play action	10	+0.400	20%	8.0	+0.166	—	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	8	+0.735	25%	10.0	+0.187	—	-0.05
Out of pocket	4	+0.025	25%	9.2	+0.231	—	-0.05
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	2	+2.592	50%	21.5	+0.190	—	0.08
No blitz	10	+0.080	20%	7.4	+0.194	—	0.08
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.106	—	—
4 rushers	10	+0.080	20%	7.4	+0.198	—	0.12
5 rushers	0	—	—	—	+0.186	—	0.15
6+ rushers	2	+2.592	50%	21.5	+0.199	—	—
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	8	+0.269	25%	8.9	+0.172	—	-0.04
7 in the box	3	+1.387	33%	14.3	+0.214	—	-0.05
Stacked box (8+)	1	-0.329	0%	3.0	+0.313	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	0.50
Not a screen	12	+0.499	25%	9.8	+0.223	35/167	0.50
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	8	-0.234	12%	5.0	+0.204	—	0.10
No motion	4	+1.963	50%	19.2	+0.179	—	0.10
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.104	—	—
Not an RPO	12	+0.499	25%	9.8	+0.200	27/167	—

By season

Season	Team	Targets	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Catch rate	aDOT	YAC/catch
2026	BUF	12	+0.499	+6.0	25.0%	9.75	33.3%	25.4	4.2

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.