Davis Mills

QB · HOU · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	vs ESPN
2025	HOU	6	91	159	915	5	1	8	13	60	1	✓ matches
2024	HOU	4	20	36	212	0	0	2	3	11	0	not checked
2023	HOU	5	18	39	173	2	0	2	2	9	0	not checked
2023 playoffs	HOU	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	3	-4	0
2022	HOU	15	292	479	3,118	17	15	31	32	108	2	not checked
2021	HOU	13	263	394	2,664	16	10	31	18	44	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Designed runs

qualifying bar 106

EPA/play

-0.173

not ranked · lg -0.046

Success rate

33.3%

not ranked · lg 41.5%

Yards/play

1.67

not ranked · lg 4.28

Explosive rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 10.0%

Turnover rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 0.6%

TD rate

0.0%

not ranked · lg 3.6%

Below the qualifying bar for this window, so ranks are against qualified players and say less.

Every split

EPA per designed run by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 20+ designed runs there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Designed runs	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	3	-0.173	33%	1.7	-0.061	—	0.01
Away	0	—	—	—	-0.034	—	-0.00
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.003	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	1	+1.115	100%	5.0	-0.045	—	0.32
Normal (6–8 days)	2	-0.817	0%	0.0	-0.049	—	-0.14
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	-0.061	—	-0.03
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	+0.008	—	—
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	3	-0.173	33%	1.7	-0.077	—	0.00
Outdoors	0	—	—	—	-0.031	—	0.00
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	0	—	—	—	-0.033	—	0.08
40–59°F	0	—	—	—	+0.012	—	-0.04
60–79°F	0	—	—	—	-0.062	—	0.02
80°F+	0	—	—	—	-0.024	—	-0.32
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	0	—	—	—	-0.020	—	0.07
10–14 mph	0	—	—	—	-0.060	—	0.12
15+ mph	0	—	—	—	-0.032	—	0.11
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	0	—	—	—	-0.030	—	—
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	-0.036	—	—
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	1	-1.264	0%	0.0	-0.057	—	0.01
Trailing 1–8	1	+1.115	100%	5.0	-0.053	—	0.02
Tied	0	—	—	—	-0.029	—	0.10
Leading 1–8	1	-0.371	0%	0.0	-0.036	—	0.00
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	-0.060	—	-0.13
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	0	—	—	—	-0.035	—	0.13
Win prob 20–80%	3	-0.173	33%	1.7	-0.040	—	-0.05
Win prob over 80%	0	—	—	—	-0.068	—	-0.09
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	1	-1.264	0%	0.0	-0.046	—	0.09
Q2	2	+0.372	50%	2.5	-0.018	—	-0.04
Q3	0	—	—	—	-0.037	—	0.12
Q4	0	—	—	—	-0.082	—	-0.02
OT	0	—	—	—	-0.076	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	0	—	—	—	-0.055	—	—
Rest of game	3	-0.173	33%	1.7	-0.046	—	—
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	2	+0.372	50%	2.5	-0.069	—	0.02
2nd down	1	-1.264	0%	0.0	-0.048	—	-0.03
3rd down	0	—	—	—	-0.027	—	-0.14
4th down	0	—	—	—	+0.448	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	0	—	—	—	+0.052	—	—
3rd & 4–6	0	—	—	—	-0.084	—	—
3rd & 7+	0	—	—	—	-0.324	—	—
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	0	—	—	—	-0.109	—	0.05
Own 50–21	2	-0.074	50%	2.5	-0.058	—	-0.01
Opp 21–49	0	—	—	—	-0.028	—	0.07
Red zone (opp 20 in)	1	-0.371	0%	0.0	-0.018	—	0.06
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	1	-1.264	0%	0.0	-0.051	—	0.03
Under center	2	+0.372	50%	2.5	-0.043	—	0.03
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	2	-0.074	50%	2.5	-0.050	—	0.03
No huddle	1	-0.371	0%	0.0	-0.006	—	0.03
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	1	-0.371	0%	0.0	+0.088	—	0.12
4–6 to go	0	—	—	—	-0.005	—	-0.02
7–10 to go	1	+1.115	100%	5.0	-0.090	—	-0.06
11+ to go	1	-1.264	0%	0.0	-0.165	—	—
Run direction Running compare everyone →
Left	0	—	—	—	-0.043	—	0.04
Middle	0	—	—	—	-0.042	—	0.16
Right	2	+0.372	50%	2.5	-0.010	—	0.11
Run gap Running compare everyone →
Outside (end)	0	—	—	—	+0.044	—	-0.03
Off tackle	0	—	—	—	-0.046	—	-0.00
Inside (guard)	2	+0.372	50%	2.5	-0.065	—	0.11
Up the middle	0	—	—	—	-0.042	—	0.16
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	2	-0.074	50%	2.5	-0.034	—	0.13
7 in the box	1	-0.371	0%	0.0	-0.062	—	-0.02
Stacked box (8+)	0	—	—	—	-0.049	—	0.34
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	1	+1.115	100%	5.0	-0.040	—	-0.21
No motion	2	-0.817	0%	0.0	-0.054	—	-0.21
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	0	—	—	—	-0.064	—	—
Not an RPO	3	-0.173	33%	1.7	-0.044	—	—
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	2	-0.817	0%	0.0	-0.028	—	-0.10
12	1	+1.115	100%	5.0	-0.063	—	0.07
21	0	—	—	—	-0.057	—	0.09
13	0	—	—	—	-0.057	—	-0.10
22	0	—	—	—	-0.025	—	—
10	0	—	—	—	-0.059	—	—
Other	0	—	—	—	-0.203	—	0.21

By season

Season	Team	Designed runs	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	Explosive	1st-down rate
2025	HOU	3	-0.173	-0.5	33.3%	1.67	0.0%	33.3%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.