Davis Mills

QB · HOU · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	vs ESPN
2025	HOU	6	91	159	915	5	1	8	13	60	1	✓ matches
2024	HOU	4	20	36	212	0	0	2	3	11	0	not checked
2023	HOU	5	18	39	173	2	0	2	2	9	0	not checked
2023 playoffs	HOU	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	3	-4	0
2022	HOU	15	292	479	3,118	17	15	31	32	108	2	not checked
2021	HOU	13	263	394	2,664	16	10	31	18	44	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

526

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

-0.134

33rd of 33 · lg +0.034

Success rate

37.5%

32nd of 33 · lg 45.0%

Yards/play

5.67

27th of 33 · lg 6.19

Explosive rate

10.1%

10th of 33 · lg 8.9%

CPOE

-3.8

31st of 33 · lg -0.3

Completion %

61.1%

28th of 33 · lg 64.4%

Air yards/att

7.8

17th of 33 · lg 7.8

Sack rate

5.9%

14th of 33 · lg 6.4%

Turnover rate

3.4%

27th of 33 · lg 2.9%

TD rate

3.6%

20th of 33 · lg 3.8%

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	252	-0.287	33%	4.8	+0.041	33/33	0.04
Away	274	+0.008	42%	6.4	+0.022	17/33	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.162	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	28	-0.260	39%	5.5	+0.036	—	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	375	-0.173	34%	5.4	+0.039	33/33	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	41	+0.127	46%	7.0	-0.024	8/22	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	42	+0.073	50%	7.0	+0.042	10/24	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	355	-0.162	37%	5.6	+0.033	28/29	0.01
Outdoors	171	-0.075	39%	5.8	+0.035	27/33	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	31	+0.055	42%	5.9	+0.025	10/24	0.00
40–59°F	41	+0.127	46%	7.0	+0.050	10/25	0.00
60–79°F	0	—	—	—	+0.016	—	-0.13
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.057	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	0	—	—	—	+0.034	—	-0.06
10–14 mph	31	+0.055	42%	5.9	+0.029	12/21	-0.12
15+ mph	41	+0.127	46%	7.0	+0.060	6/13	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	171	-0.075	39%	5.8	+0.042	26/33	0.01
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	-0.045	—	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	171	-0.108	39%	6.3	+0.006	27/30	0.06
Trailing 1–8	164	-0.045	37%	5.1	+0.052	31/33	0.05
Tied	126	-0.267	37%	5.3	+0.003	28/32	0.09
Leading 1–8	45	+0.051	36%	7.0	+0.065	17/31	-0.21
Leading 9+	20	-0.652	40%	4.1	+0.061	—	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	191	-0.103	38%	6.2	-0.014	27/30	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	316	-0.114	37%	5.4	+0.049	31/33	0.08
Win prob over 80%	19	-0.774	37%	4.2	+0.048	—	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	107	-0.238	33%	5.4	+0.045	30/33	-0.05
Q2	108	-0.200	39%	4.2	+0.080	32/33	-0.06
Q3	119	+0.117	44%	7.5	+0.036	13/33	-0.06
Q4	184	-0.166	35%	5.7	-0.018	31/33	0.05
OT	8	-0.841	38%	2.1	-0.109	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	75	-0.070	39%	5.9	+0.063	26/33	0.03
Rest of game	451	-0.144	37%	5.6	+0.029	33/33	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	186	+0.077	46%	6.9	+0.083	19/33	0.19
2nd down	168	-0.141	36%	5.3	+0.092	32/33	0.04
3rd down	156	-0.436	28%	4.3	-0.081	32/33	0.11
4th down	16	+0.441	50%	8.7	-0.214	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	20	-0.090	50%	7.4	-0.020	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	39	-0.508	36%	3.5	+0.014	24/24	-0.12
3rd & 7+	97	-0.479	20%	4.0	-0.151	31/33	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	51	-0.298	35%	4.8	+0.024	29/31	-0.02
Own 50–21	279	-0.117	39%	6.5	+0.031	30/33	0.11
Opp 21–49	130	-0.132	37%	5.8	+0.050	30/33	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	66	-0.079	32%	2.5	+0.020	26/32	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	403	-0.211	36%	5.1	+0.014	33/33	-0.00
Under center	123	+0.119	41%	7.6	+0.137	21/30	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	464	-0.076	39%	5.9	+0.031	28/33	-0.09
No huddle	62	-0.565	29%	3.8	+0.056	26/26	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	45	+0.078	47%	7.1	+0.007	13/29	-0.07
4–6 to go	80	-0.226	41%	4.3	+0.089	31/33	-0.02
7–10 to go	329	-0.085	40%	6.1	+0.050	30/33	-0.01
11+ to go	72	-0.385	14%	4.4	-0.069	30/33	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	478	-0.025	40%	6.5	+0.140	33/33	0.66
Sack	31	-2.006	0%	-7.9	-1.755	14/15	0.21
Scramble	17	+0.232	41%	6.2	+0.501	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	90	-0.179	31%	4.8	-0.175	20/33	0.19
Short (0–9)	226	-0.066	43%	4.9	+0.102	32/33	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	108	-0.068	39%	7.5	+0.394	33/33	0.16
Deep (20+)	54	+0.485	43%	14.3	+0.311	12/30	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	196	-0.124	37%	5.3	+0.125	32/33	0.11
Middle	90	+0.059	46%	9.1	+0.240	29/33	0.10
Right	192	+0.036	40%	6.6	+0.101	25/33	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	118	+0.075	42%	7.0	+0.116	19/33	-0.03
No play action	408	-0.194	36%	5.3	+0.013	33/33	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	458	-0.132	39%	5.8	+0.042	32/33	0.06
Out of pocket	68	-0.145	29%	4.5	-0.005	22/30	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	121	-0.092	37%	5.4	-0.007	24/33	-0.15
No blitz	405	-0.146	38%	5.8	+0.048	33/33	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	20	-0.204	30%	4.1	+0.070	—	—
4 rushers	402	-0.120	38%	5.9	+0.035	33/33	-0.27
5 rushers	78	-0.166	33%	4.5	+0.022	25/33	-0.05
6+ rushers	22	-0.144	41%	6.5	-0.016	—	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	406	-0.211	36%	5.3	+0.032	33/33	0.13
7 in the box	98	+0.087	41%	6.4	+0.041	16/33	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	20	+0.152	45%	6.8	+0.046	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	58	-0.042	40%	6.3	-0.045	14/24	-0.11
Not a screen	468	-0.145	37%	5.6	+0.042	33/33	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	157	-0.109	39%	5.5	+0.029	27/33	0.02
No motion	369	-0.144	37%	5.7	+0.037	33/33	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	7	-0.463	29%	3.4	+0.167	—	—
Not an RPO	519	-0.129	38%	5.7	+0.029	32/33	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	299	+0.009	44%	6.9	+0.214	33/33	0.04
Pressured	179	-0.083	32%	5.9	-0.040	24/33	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	145	-0.016	39%	7.1	+0.136	27/33	0.01
Zone	330	-0.033	40%	6.3	+0.141	33/33	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	6	+1.397	83%	11.8	-0.018	—	—
Cover 1	128	-0.027	38%	7.1	+0.164	28/33	-0.05
2-Man	11	-0.654	27%	4.5	+0.140	—	—
Cover 2	62	+0.227	44%	7.9	+0.098	10/30	-0.18
Cover 3	150	+0.030	41%	6.6	+0.171	28/33	-0.07
Cover 4	93	-0.295	35%	4.7	+0.108	32/32	-0.01
Cover 6	24	-0.070	42%	6.2	+0.170	—	-0.20
Prevent	1	-0.472	0%	0.0	-0.038	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	188	-0.022	45%	6.4	+0.140	31/33	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	222	-0.067	37%	6.4	+0.177	33/33	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	68	+0.101	35%	7.4	+0.057	17/32	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	321	-0.184	36%	5.2	+0.018	33/33	0.07
12	103	-0.026	40%	7.1	+0.096	22/28	0.04
21	37	+0.085	46%	7.1	+0.070	7/12	-0.07
13	37	-0.069	32%	5.2	+0.092	3/3	—
22	11	-0.901	36%	2.7	-0.005	—	—
10	7	+0.161	57%	5.4	+0.011	—	—
Other	10	-0.050	30%	4.4	+0.000	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2022	HOU	526	-0.134	-70.3	37.5%	5.67	-3.8	61.1%	7.8	5.9%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.