Davis Mills

QB · HOU · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	vs ESPN
2025	HOU	6	91	159	915	5	1	8	13	60	1	✓ matches
2024	HOU	4	20	36	212	0	0	2	3	11	0	not checked
2023	HOU	5	18	39	173	2	0	2	2	9	0	not checked
2023 playoffs	HOU	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	3	-4	0
2022	HOU	15	292	479	3,118	17	15	31	32	108	2	not checked
2021	HOU	13	263	394	2,664	16	10	31	18	44	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

433

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

-0.117

30th of 33 · lg +0.054

Success rate

42.5%

28th of 33 · lg 46.2%

Yards/play

5.77

25th of 33 · lg 6.30

Explosive rate

7.4%

27th of 33 · lg 9.1%

CPOE

-0.2

23rd of 33 · lg +0.0

Completion %

67.1%

13th of 33 · lg 65.0%

Air yards/att

7.3

27th of 33 · lg 7.8

Sack rate

7.2%

24th of 33 · lg 6.0%

Turnover rate

3.0%

19th of 33 · lg 2.9%

TD rate

3.7%

19th of 33 · lg 4.2%

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	242	+0.046	48%	6.8	+0.052	19/33	0.04
Away	191	-0.323	36%	4.5	+0.054	32/33	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.175	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	31	-0.233	42%	4.9	+0.104	23/25	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	377	-0.053	44%	6.1	+0.051	25/33	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	25	-0.938	24%	2.5	+0.035	—	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	0	—	—	—	-0.022	—	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	224	-0.002	44%	6.4	+0.072	22/30	0.01
Outdoors	209	-0.239	41%	5.1	+0.047	33/33	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	0	—	—	—	-0.048	—	0.00
40–59°F	36	-0.451	31%	3.9	+0.062	27/27	0.00
60–79°F	44	-0.523	30%	3.6	+0.053	31/31	-0.13
80°F+	31	+0.113	39%	6.6	+0.074	11/22	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	36	-0.451	31%	3.9	+0.068	33/33	-0.06
10–14 mph	75	-0.260	33%	4.9	+0.029	24/26	-0.12
15+ mph	0	—	—	—	-0.019	—	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	184	-0.145	43%	5.4	+0.051	30/33	0.01
Rain or snow	25	-0.938	24%	2.5	-0.042	—	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	208	-0.206	42%	5.6	-0.045	29/33	0.06
Trailing 1–8	86	-0.178	43%	5.2	+0.065	31/33	0.05
Tied	71	+0.013	46%	5.8	+0.082	22/32	0.09
Leading 1–8	50	+0.277	44%	7.6	+0.115	5/33	-0.21
Leading 9+	18	-0.395	28%	5.1	+0.118	—	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	200	-0.230	40%	5.7	-0.057	28/33	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	201	-0.031	47%	5.7	+0.081	26/33	0.08
Win prob over 80%	32	+0.056	31%	7.2	+0.136	18/29	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	76	-0.175	43%	4.7	+0.013	28/33	-0.05
Q2	100	+0.154	48%	6.7	+0.119	11/33	-0.06
Q3	97	-0.208	38%	5.3	+0.015	29/33	-0.06
Q4	160	-0.203	41%	6.0	+0.048	30/33	0.05
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.119	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	67	+0.039	48%	6.9	+0.076	20/33	0.03
Rest of game	366	-0.145	42%	5.6	+0.050	31/33	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	154	-0.033	47%	6.1	+0.104	29/33	0.19
2nd down	136	+0.061	43%	6.0	+0.079	20/33	0.04
3rd down	128	-0.293	38%	5.2	-0.026	28/33	0.11
4th down	15	-1.077	27%	5.6	-0.151	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	28	+0.151	57%	8.1	+0.029	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	27	-0.475	33%	2.8	-0.005	—	-0.12
3rd & 7+	73	-0.397	32%	4.9	-0.058	28/32	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	45	-0.033	42%	6.9	+0.079	22/29	-0.02
Own 50–21	228	-0.136	43%	5.6	+0.037	30/33	0.11
Opp 21–49	128	-0.167	40%	6.3	+0.070	29/33	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	32	+0.104	53%	3.2	+0.061	15/32	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	362	-0.178	41%	5.5	+0.035	32/33	-0.00
Under center	71	+0.195	49%	7.0	+0.146	13/29	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	382	-0.159	41%	5.4	+0.044	31/33	-0.09
No huddle	51	+0.200	51%	8.3	+0.123	12/30	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	52	+0.151	54%	7.9	+0.065	12/29	-0.07
4–6 to go	55	-0.358	40%	4.6	+0.040	32/33	-0.02
7–10 to go	255	-0.075	44%	5.7	+0.077	29/33	-0.01
11+ to go	71	-0.275	32%	5.3	-0.038	28/32	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	392	+0.025	47%	6.8	+0.161	30/33	0.66
Sack	31	-1.777	0%	-6.6	-1.851	9/22	0.21
Scramble	10	-0.528	10%	4.2	+0.477	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	74	-0.232	32%	4.4	-0.119	24/32	0.19
Short (0–9)	208	-0.013	50%	5.3	+0.119	31/33	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	69	+0.196	54%	9.8	+0.352	26/33	0.16
Deep (20+)	41	+0.398	41%	13.6	+0.414	15/29	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	148	-0.073	43%	5.9	+0.175	32/33	0.11
Middle	72	-0.043	49%	8.0	+0.264	33/33	0.10
Right	172	+0.138	49%	7.1	+0.094	12/33	0.08
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	290	+0.154	52%	7.5	+0.232	25/33	0.04
Pressured	102	-0.341	31%	4.9	-0.018	33/33	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	110	+0.231	50%	7.9	+0.159	13/33	0.01
Zone	282	-0.055	45%	6.4	+0.161	32/33	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	14	+0.843	57%	8.9	+0.123	—	—
Cover 1	76	+0.307	51%	8.6	+0.172	6/32	-0.05
2-Man	20	-0.486	40%	4.5	+0.084	—	—
Cover 2	57	-0.068	51%	6.7	+0.162	29/30	-0.18
Cover 3	128	-0.013	48%	6.6	+0.167	30/33	-0.07
Cover 4	56	-0.024	38%	5.7	+0.175	27/33	-0.01
Cover 6	38	-0.194	45%	6.2	+0.132	22/22	-0.20
Prevent	3	-0.443	0%	7.0	-0.125	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	188	+0.025	52%	6.0	+0.149	28/33	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	134	+0.006	41%	7.4	+0.217	30/33	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	70	+0.064	44%	7.9	+0.065	20/32	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	321	-0.084	43%	6.1	+0.052	27/33	0.07
12	69	-0.059	43%	5.5	+0.032	22/29	0.04
21	7	+0.122	71%	4.7	+0.081	—	-0.07
13	14	+0.587	64%	7.7	+0.270	—	—
22	0	—	—	—	+0.090	—	—
10	2	-1.061	0%	1.0	+0.098	—	—
Other	20	-1.321	10%	1.3	+0.010	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2021	HOU	433	-0.117	-50.5	42.5%	5.77	-0.2	67.1%	7.3	7.2%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.