Gardner Minshew

QB · ARI · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	vs ESPN
2026	ARI	1	17	23	188	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025	KC	4	6	13	37	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	0	✓ matches
2024	LV	10	203	306	2,013	9	10	29	19	58	0	0	0	not checked
2023	IND	16	305	490	3,305	15	9	34	34	100	3	0	0	not checked
2022	PHI	5	44	76	663	3	3	6	7	3	1	0	0	not checked
2022 playoffs	PHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	-2	0	0	0
2021	PHI	3	41	60	439	4	1	5	9	21	0	0	0	not checked
2020	JAX	9	216	327	2,259	16	5	27	29	153	1	1	1	not checked
2019	JAX	14	285	470	3,271	21	6	33	67	344	0	0	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

343

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

-0.124

36th of 39 · lg +0.066

Success rate

44.9%

22nd of 39 · lg 45.8%

Yards/play

5.57

32nd of 39 · lg 6.30

Explosive rate

7.3%

36th of 39 · lg 9.4%

CPOE

+0.5

25th of 39 · lg +0.9

Completion %

67.0%

13th of 39 · lg 65.6%

Air yards/att

6.1

38th of 39 · lg 7.7

Sack rate

8.5%

34th of 39 · lg 6.5%

Turnover rate

3.8%

34th of 39 · lg 2.6%

TD rate

2.6%

36th of 39 · lg 4.2%

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	137	-0.097	48%	5.6	+0.069	33/39	0.04
Away	206	-0.141	43%	5.6	+0.063	36/39	0.01
Neutral site	0	—	—	—	+0.075	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.101	—	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	255	-0.172	45%	5.5	+0.067	38/39	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.072	—	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	48	+0.123	50%	5.7	+0.066	9/23	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	213	-0.192	44%	5.3	+0.043	34/36	0.01
Outdoors	130	-0.011	47%	6.0	+0.078	31/39	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	0	—	—	—	+0.086	—	0.00
40–59°F	0	—	—	—	+0.071	—	0.00
60–79°F	82	-0.089	45%	6.1	+0.060	28/36	-0.13
80°F+	48	+0.123	50%	5.7	+0.111	8/18	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	39	-0.126	41%	6.8	+0.081	35/38	-0.06
10–14 mph	43	-0.056	49%	5.4	+0.089	23/28	-0.12
15+ mph	48	+0.123	50%	5.7	-0.024	6/17	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	130	-0.011	47%	6.0	+0.080	30/39	0.01
Rain or snow	0	—	—	—	+0.025	—	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	112	+0.135	54%	7.1	+0.002	13/38	0.06
Trailing 1–8	136	-0.172	44%	4.6	+0.058	36/39	0.05
Tied	42	+0.054	36%	6.4	+0.066	18/38	0.09
Leading 1–8	53	-0.687	34%	4.2	+0.110	36/36	-0.21
Leading 9+	0	—	—	—	+0.153	—	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	118	+0.083	55%	7.2	+0.017	18/37	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	225	-0.232	40%	4.7	+0.059	38/39	0.08
Win prob over 80%	0	—	—	—	+0.172	—	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	61	+0.332	48%	7.4	+0.038	2/39	-0.05
Q2	100	-0.363	41%	4.6	+0.101	38/39	-0.06
Q3	74	-0.314	36%	4.9	+0.058	36/39	-0.06
Q4	108	-0.028	53%	5.9	+0.049	29/39	0.05
OT	0	—	—	—	+0.462	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	48	-0.514	38%	3.8	+0.062	38/38	0.03
Rest of game	295	-0.060	46%	5.9	+0.067	33/39	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	128	-0.088	45%	6.2	+0.100	36/39	0.19
2nd down	117	-0.112	47%	5.8	+0.105	35/39	0.04
3rd down	93	-0.143	42%	4.6	-0.040	27/39	0.11
4th down	5	-0.931	40%	1.6	+0.174	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	15	-0.780	40%	1.5	-0.121	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	28	-0.225	43%	4.2	+0.074	—	-0.12
3rd & 7+	50	+0.095	42%	5.7	-0.073	12/37	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	26	-0.251	19%	4.9	+0.098	—	-0.02
Own 50–21	170	-0.090	51%	6.4	+0.050	33/39	0.11
Opp 21–49	100	-0.004	47%	6.0	+0.083	28/39	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	47	-0.430	34%	2.2	+0.060	35/36	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	302	-0.114	45%	5.3	+0.048	36/39	-0.00
Under center	41	-0.193	41%	7.7	+0.165	30/33	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	309	-0.091	45%	5.7	+0.061	34/39	-0.09
No huddle	34	-0.419	44%	4.0	+0.096	30/31	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	30	-0.480	53%	3.6	+0.036	26/26	-0.07
4–6 to go	55	-0.577	36%	3.2	+0.102	38/38	-0.02
7–10 to go	221	+0.096	48%	6.7	+0.077	19/39	-0.01
11+ to go	37	-0.473	35%	3.9	+0.005	38/38	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	303	+0.040	49%	6.6	+0.174	34/39	0.66
Sack	29	-2.028	0%	-5.7	-1.771	—	0.21
Scramble	11	+0.395	55%	5.5	+0.539	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	66	-0.184	27%	4.6	-0.123	25/38	0.19
Short (0–9)	166	+0.060	58%	6.0	+0.148	28/39	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	47	+0.307	53%	8.7	+0.404	26/39	0.16
Deep (20+)	24	-0.009	38%	12.5	+0.339	—	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	110	+0.169	56%	7.1	+0.167	17/39	0.11
Middle	63	+0.338	62%	9.0	+0.317	18/39	0.10
Right	130	-0.213	36%	5.1	+0.102	37/39	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	63	-0.069	44%	6.7	+0.162	33/39	-0.03
No play action	280	-0.136	45%	5.3	+0.038	35/39	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	274	-0.062	47%	5.9	+0.070	32/39	0.06
Out of pocket	69	-0.368	35%	4.3	+0.047	37/37	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	119	-0.109	46%	6.0	+0.019	33/39	-0.15
No blitz	224	-0.131	44%	5.3	+0.085	37/39	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	11	-0.805	45%	3.1	+0.120	—	—
4 rushers	217	-0.074	46%	5.9	+0.065	34/39	-0.27
5 rushers	87	-0.104	45%	5.9	+0.052	32/39	-0.05
6+ rushers	27	-0.293	41%	3.2	+0.056	—	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	287	-0.080	46%	5.7	+0.051	34/39	0.13
7 in the box	50	-0.348	38%	5.5	+0.119	36/36	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	6	-0.319	33%	1.8	+0.127	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	29	-0.225	21%	4.4	+0.020	—	-0.11
Not a screen	314	-0.114	47%	5.7	+0.070	35/39	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	199	-0.040	45%	5.9	+0.073	30/39	0.02
No motion	144	-0.239	44%	5.1	+0.059	38/39	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	10	+0.114	50%	5.8	+0.014	—	—
Not an RPO	333	-0.131	45%	5.6	+0.067	36/39	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	228	+0.204	56%	7.4	+0.262	26/39	0.04
Pressured	115	-0.773	23%	2.0	-0.373	39/39	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	191	-0.160	44%	5.3	+0.063	36/39	0.01
Zone	152	-0.078	46%	5.9	+0.071	32/39	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	17	+0.636	47%	8.8	+0.102	—	—
Cover 1	145	-0.297	43%	4.8	+0.060	37/39	-0.05
2-Man	29	+0.055	48%	5.8	+0.055	—	—
Cover 2	61	-0.094	46%	6.4	+0.028	30/39	-0.18
Cover 3	43	+0.015	53%	6.2	+0.107	28/39	-0.07
Cover 4	20	+0.079	55%	5.7	+0.143	—	-0.01
Cover 6	12	+0.011	17%	5.8	+0.113	—	-0.20
Cover 9	5	+0.040	60%	7.2	+0.058	—	—
Combo	7	-0.139	29%	3.6	-0.054	—	—
Blown coverage	4	-1.900	25%	-0.2	-0.208	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	174	+0.130	54%	6.3	+0.166	22/39	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	91	-0.093	47%	7.5	+0.235	38/39	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	38	-0.206	29%	6.2	+0.061	32/36	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	230	-0.103	45%	5.7	+0.053	36/39	0.07
12	91	-0.246	44%	4.9	+0.122	34/35	0.04
21	0	—	—	—	+0.151	—	-0.07
13	18	+0.250	50%	8.1	+0.168	—	—
22	0	—	—	—	+0.270	—	—
10	0	—	—	—	-0.171	—	—
Other	4	-0.199	50%	2.0	-0.063	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2024	LV	343	-0.124	-42.4	44.9%	5.57	+0.5	67.0%	6.1	8.5%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.