Gardner Minshew

QB · ARI · ESPN · Pro Football Reference

Box score by season

Season	Team	G	Cmp	Att	Pass yds	TD	Int	Sacked	Rush	Rush yds	TD	Tgt	Rec	vs ESPN
2026	ARI	1	17	23	188	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	✓ matches
2025	KC	4	6	13	37	0	1	0	6	2	0	0	0	✓ matches
2024	LV	10	203	306	2,013	9	10	29	19	58	0	0	0	not checked
2023	IND	16	305	490	3,305	15	9	34	34	100	3	0	0	not checked
2022	PHI	5	44	76	663	3	3	6	7	3	1	0	0	not checked
2022 playoffs	PHI	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	-2	0	0	0
2021	PHI	3	41	60	439	4	1	5	9	21	0	0	0	not checked
2020	JAX	9	216	327	2,259	16	5	27	29	153	1	1	1	not checked
2019	JAX	14	285	470	3,271	21	6	33	67	344	0	0	0	not checked

Official scoring from play-by-play. Regular-season totals for 2025, 2026 are compared with ESPN's after every rebuild (all players); earlier seasons aren't checked.

Advanced

Dropbacks

545

qualifying bar 238

EPA/play

+0.000

21st of 34 · lg +0.016

Success rate

42.2%

24th of 34 · lg 44.4%

Yards/play

5.93

21st of 34 · lg 6.11

Explosive rate

7.0%

30th of 34 · lg 9.2%

CPOE

-3.3

32nd of 34 · lg +0.2

Completion %

62.2%

28th of 34 · lg 64.7%

Air yards/att

7.3

24th of 34 · lg 7.8

Sack rate

6.2%

19th of 34 · lg 6.8%

Turnover rate

2.6%

14th of 34 · lg 2.9%

TD rate

3.3%

25th of 34 · lg 3.8%

Every split

EPA per dropback by situation, next to the league. Rank is among qualified players with 30+ dropbacks there (1 = best). "Repeats" is the year-to-year correlation for that split (2016–25); near zero means it predicts little. Click a situation to filter to it.

Situation	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Success	Yds/play	League EPA	Rank	Repeats
Home / away Setting compare everyone →
Home	219	+0.054	42%	6.8	+0.022	17/34	0.04
Away	298	-0.047	42%	5.2	+0.009	23/34	0.01
Neutral site	28	+0.086	50%	6.9	+0.033	—	—
Rest days Setting compare everyone →
Short week (≤5 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.004	—	0.09
Normal (6–8 days)	498	+0.007	42%	6.0	+0.024	23/34	0.03
Extra rest (9–12 days)	0	—	—	—	+0.025	—	-0.00
Off a bye (13+ days)	45	+0.030	42%	5.5	-0.015	9/24	-0.07
Indoors / outdoors Weather compare everyone →
Indoors	220	-0.029	39%	5.6	+0.025	22/30	0.01
Outdoors	325	+0.020	45%	6.2	+0.012	18/34	0.01
Temperature (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Under 40°F	0	—	—	—	-0.049	—	0.00
40–59°F	90	+0.049	47%	6.0	-0.021	16/30	0.00
60–79°F	77	-0.087	40%	4.1	+0.054	23/28	-0.13
80°F+	0	—	—	—	+0.068	—	0.01
Wind (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
0–9 mph	120	-0.048	43%	4.6	+0.022	26/34	-0.06
10–14 mph	47	+0.075	45%	6.5	-0.014	11/26	-0.12
15+ mph	0	—	—	—	-0.066	—	-0.06
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather compare everyone →
Dry	276	+0.054	46%	6.6	+0.023	16/34	0.01
Rain or snow	49	-0.172	39%	3.8	-0.083	15/17	0.01
Score Game state compare everyone →
Trailing 9+	124	-0.011	41%	6.3	-0.058	17/33	0.06
Trailing 1–8	154	+0.050	43%	6.5	-0.000	15/34	0.05
Tied	98	+0.007	48%	5.0	+0.048	20/34	0.09
Leading 1–8	129	+0.034	41%	6.1	+0.066	19/32	-0.21
Leading 9+	40	-0.279	32%	4.0	+0.073	19/19	0.03
Win probability Game state compare everyone →
Win prob under 20%	120	-0.087	37%	5.6	-0.058	19/33	0.05
Win prob 20–80%	356	+0.090	46%	6.5	+0.036	16/34	0.08
Win prob over 80%	69	-0.308	30%	3.4	+0.046	26/26	0.03
Quarter Game state compare everyone →
Q1	113	+0.085	50%	5.5	+0.028	18/34	-0.05
Q2	188	+0.069	44%	5.9	+0.058	14/34	-0.06
Q3	105	-0.029	42%	6.4	+0.013	22/34	-0.06
Q4	130	-0.202	32%	5.5	-0.037	27/34	0.05
OT	9	+0.771	67%	12.6	+0.072	—	—
Two-minute Game state compare everyone →
Last 2 min of half	82	-0.241	35%	3.8	-0.007	30/33	0.03
Rest of game	463	+0.043	43%	6.3	+0.020	18/34	0.03
Down Situation compare everyone →
1st down	185	+0.031	44%	5.9	+0.056	22/34	0.19
2nd down	191	+0.068	45%	5.9	+0.050	21/34	0.04
3rd down	147	-0.110	35%	6.1	-0.052	22/34	0.11
4th down	22	-0.106	50%	5.8	-0.251	—	—
3rd-down distance Situation compare everyone →
3rd & 1–3	28	-0.183	46%	5.8	+0.009	—	-0.29
3rd & 4–6	43	+0.092	42%	8.1	+0.024	13/25	-0.12
3rd & 7+	76	-0.197	28%	5.1	-0.111	23/34	-0.22
Field position Situation compare everyone →
Own 20 and in	56	-0.223	32%	5.2	+0.028	22/28	-0.02
Own 50–21	285	+0.092	44%	6.9	+0.017	17/34	0.11
Opp 21–49	131	+0.060	49%	5.9	+0.028	18/34	0.08
Red zone (opp 20 in)	73	-0.293	33%	3.0	-0.027	29/32	0.01
Formation Style compare everyone →
Shotgun	527	-0.007	42%	5.9	+0.005	20/34	-0.00
Under center	18	+0.230	39%	8.0	+0.087	—	-0.00
Tempo Style compare everyone →
Huddle	464	-0.065	39%	5.6	+0.017	25/34	-0.09
No huddle	81	+0.374	59%	7.8	+0.007	1/26	-0.09
Yards to go Situation compare everyone →
1–3 to go	55	+0.156	51%	6.2	+0.049	10/29	-0.07
4–6 to go	82	+0.031	48%	6.7	+0.049	18/34	-0.02
7–10 to go	340	+0.015	41%	5.9	+0.031	24/34	-0.01
11+ to go	68	-0.234	34%	4.8	-0.108	22/34	0.03
Pass, sack or scramble Passing compare everyone →
Pass	490	+0.127	45%	6.7	+0.133	21/34	0.66
Sack	34	-1.994	0%	-5.5	-1.804	16/20	0.21
Scramble	21	+0.286	43%	5.4	+0.435	—	0.27
Pass depth Passing compare everyone →
Behind the line	80	-0.186	34%	3.7	-0.199	16/34	0.19
Short (0–9)	263	+0.103	49%	5.4	+0.099	19/34	0.01
Intermediate (10–19)	93	+0.411	49%	9.3	+0.390	16/34	0.16
Deep (20+)	54	+0.217	37%	13.2	+0.356	19/31	0.18
Pass direction Passing compare everyone →
Left	192	+0.150	46%	6.7	+0.102	12/34	0.11
Middle	105	+0.104	46%	7.3	+0.265	26/34	0.10
Right	193	+0.116	44%	6.6	+0.099	17/34	0.08
Play action Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Play action	111	-0.101	40%	5.5	+0.112	29/34	-0.03
No play action	434	+0.027	43%	6.0	-0.009	16/34	-0.03
In / out of pocket Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
In pocket	460	+0.041	43%	5.9	+0.020	18/34	0.06
Out of pocket	85	-0.216	35%	6.2	-0.003	26/32	0.06
Blitz Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Blitzed	195	+0.013	43%	5.4	-0.004	17/34	-0.15
No blitz	350	-0.006	42%	6.2	+0.023	22/34	-0.15
Pass rushers Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
3 or fewer rushers	30	+0.166	43%	3.7	-0.000	3/8	—
4 rushers	329	-0.019	41%	6.4	+0.024	23/34	-0.27
5 rushers	133	+0.007	44%	5.3	+0.036	22/34	-0.05
6+ rushers	52	-0.004	40%	5.6	-0.120	5/16	0.15
Defenders in the box Defense (FTN) compare everyone →
Light box (6 or fewer)	391	+0.019	41%	6.0	-0.000	18/34	0.13
7 in the box	132	-0.007	44%	5.8	+0.074	22/34	0.11
Stacked box (8+)	22	-0.293	45%	4.9	+0.060	—	—
Screen Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Screen	50	-0.138	44%	4.4	-0.086	22/32	-0.11
Not a screen	495	+0.014	42%	6.1	+0.027	20/34	-0.11
Pre-snap motion Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
Motion	218	-0.048	43%	5.6	+0.039	24/34	0.02
No motion	327	+0.033	42%	6.2	-0.001	15/34	0.02
RPO Scheme (FTN) compare everyone →
RPO	54	-0.057	54%	5.9	+0.050	3/3	—
Not an RPO	491	+0.007	41%	5.9	+0.015	20/34	—
Pressure Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Clean pocket	395	+0.194	48%	6.9	+0.225	22/34	0.04
Pressured	150	-0.510	27%	3.3	-0.483	20/34	0.04
Man / zone Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Man	251	+0.027	42%	5.8	+0.006	18/34	0.01
Zone	288	-0.027	42%	6.0	+0.028	24/34	0.01
Coverage shell Defense (NGS) compare everyone →
Cover 0	32	-0.102	44%	6.2	+0.021	3/4	—
Cover 1	202	+0.061	41%	5.6	+0.008	15/34	-0.05
2-Man	17	-0.137	47%	6.9	-0.010	—	—
Cover 2	70	+0.195	49%	7.1	+0.055	14/33	-0.18
Cover 3	92	+0.173	46%	7.9	+0.064	13/34	-0.07
Cover 4	68	-0.335	31%	3.9	-0.023	30/31	-0.01
Cover 6	24	-0.048	58%	5.9	+0.012	—	-0.20
Cover 9	10	-0.336	20%	2.4	-0.111	—	—
Combo	24	-0.422	38%	2.6	+0.006	—	—
Blown coverage	0	—	—	—	+0.201	—	—
Time to throw Passing compare everyone →
Quick (under 2.5s)	287	+0.131	47%	5.8	+0.111	19/34	0.12
Normal (2.5–3.5s)	127	+0.221	46%	8.8	+0.207	20/34	0.07
Long (3.5s+)	73	+0.061	37%	7.3	+0.045	18/31	0.07
Offensive personnel Scheme (NGS) compare everyone →
11	439	-0.004	42%	6.1	-0.002	20/34	0.07
12	94	+0.089	47%	5.8	+0.101	19/32	0.04
21	2	-0.397	50%	4.5	-0.021	—	-0.07
13	5	-1.259	0%	-1.8	+0.035	—	—
22	0	—	—	—	-0.328	—	—
10	0	—	—	—	+0.149	—	—
Other	5	+0.170	40%	4.2	-0.031	—	-0.08

By season

Season	Team	Dropbacks	EPA/play	Total EPA	Success	Yds/play	CPOE	Comp %	aDOT	Sack rate
2023	IND	545	+0.000	+0.2	42.2%	5.93	-3.3	62.2%	7.3	6.2%

Definitions

QB plays are dropbacks: passes, sacks and scrambles (spikes left out). A receiver's fumble after the catch isn't charged to the QB. Rushing counts designed runs only. Receiving is EPA per target. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so a 50-play split carries about ±0.2 of luck.