Re-sort — 2026 Week 16

Games that have kicked off are locked at the confidence you gave them. Every other game is re-ranked by its live win probability (devigged moneyline) and gets the confidence values still unused: every favorite, the highest value to the likeliest winner. Re-sort before each kickoff window, ideally Sunday around 11:30 ET once inactives are out. Back to the sheet

ConfPickGameWin % LineLocked at
16 BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 CLE @ BAL 77.2% -10.0
15 LAC
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 LAC @ MIA 75.7% -7.0
14 NE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 NE @ NYJ 70.0% -6.5
13 NO
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 ARI @ NO 68.1% -5.5
12 DET
Mon 8:15 PM ET
 NYG @ DET 64.5% -4.5
11 PIT
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 CAR @ PIT 63.1% -3.5
10 DAL
Sun 8:20 PM ET
 JAX @ DAL 59.3% -3.0
9 KC
Sun 4:25 PM ET
 SF @ KC 58.3% -3.0
8 PHI
Thu 8:15 PM ET
 HOU @ PHI 55.1% -2.5
7 MIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 WAS @ MIN 55.1% -2.5
6 BUF
Fri 4:30 PM ET
 BUF @ DEN 54.3% -1.5
5 SEA
Fri 8:15 PM ET
 LA @ SEA 54.3% -1.5
4 TB
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 TB @ ATL 53.2% -1.5
3 CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 CIN @ IND 52.6% -1.5
2 LV
Sun 4:05 PM ET
 TEN @ LV 52.6% -1.5
1 CHI
Fri 1:00 PM ET
 GB @ CHI 51.7% -1.5

Odds as of 2026-09-13 16:59 UTC. A started game you leave blank keeps its value from the archived sheet (there is no archived sheet this week, so enter it). Enter a value in "Locked at" for any game you've already locked or want to keep where it is. * no moneyline; win chance estimated from the spread.