Re-sort — 2026 Week 14

Games that have kicked off are locked at the confidence you gave them. Every other game is re-ranked by its live win probability (devigged moneyline) and gets the confidence values still unused: every favorite, the highest value to the likeliest winner. Re-sort before each kickoff window, ideally Sunday around 11:30 ET once inactives are out. Back to the sheet

ConfPickGameWin % LineLocked at
15 SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
NYG @ SEA 75.7% -7.5
14 DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN @ DET 75.1% -7.5
13 BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB @ BAL 69.1% -6.0
12 CHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
CHI @ MIA 68.5% -5.5
11 PHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
IND @ PHI 68.5% -5.5
10 DEN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
DEN @ NYJ 66.9% -5.5
9 LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
LAC @ LV 66.4% -5.5
8 NE
Thu 8:15 PM ET
MIN @ NE 65.7% -4.5
7 JAX
Mon 8:15 PM ET
PIT @ JAX 59.3% -3.0
6 CAR
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO @ CAR 55.1% -2.5
5 LA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LA @ SF 54.3% -1.5
4 CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
ATL @ CLE 53.2% -1.5
3 CIN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
KC @ CIN 53.2% -1.5
2 GB
Sun 8:20 PM ET
BUF @ GB 53.2% -1.5
1 HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
HOU @ WAS 52.6% -1.5

Odds as of 2026-09-13 16:59 UTC. A started game you leave blank keeps its value from the archived sheet (there is no archived sheet this week, so enter it). Enter a value in "Locked at" for any game you've already locked or want to keep where it is. * no moneyline; win chance estimated from the spread.