Re-sort — 2026 Week 12

Games that have kicked off are locked at the confidence you gave them. Every other game is re-ranked by its live win probability (devigged moneyline) and gets the confidence values still unused: every favorite, the highest value to the likeliest winner. Re-sort before each kickoff window, ideally Sunday around 11:30 ET once inactives are out. Back to the sheet

ConfPickGameWin % LineLocked at
16 CIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 NO @ CIN 71.0% -6.5
15 JAX
Sun 4:05 PM ET
 TEN @ JAX 67.5% -5.5
14 LA
Wed 8:00 PM ET
 GB @ LA 66.4% -4.5
13 MIN
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 ATL @ MIN 65.7% -4.5
12 WAS
Sun 4:25 PM ET
 WAS @ ARI 65.7% -4.5
11 TB
Mon 8:15 PM ET
 CAR @ TB 63.7% -3.5
10 BUF
Thu 8:20 PM ET
 KC @ BUF 57.2% -2.5
9 DET
Thu 1:00 PM ET
 CHI @ DET 56.3% -2.5
8 IND
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 NYG @ IND 55.1% -2.5
7 DAL
Thu 4:30 PM ET
 PHI @ DAL 53.2% -1.5
6 MIA
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 NYJ @ MIA 53.2% -1.5
5 LAC
Sun 8:20 PM ET
 NE @ LAC 53.2% -1.5
4 DEN
Fri 3:00 PM ET
 DEN @ PIT 52.6% -1.5
3 CLE
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 LV @ CLE 52.6% -1.5
2 HOU
Sun 1:00 PM ET
 BAL @ HOU 52.6% -1.5
1 SEA
Sun 4:25 PM ET
 SEA @ SF 50.0% -1.5

Odds as of 2026-09-13 16:59 UTC. A started game you leave blank keeps its value from the archived sheet (there is no archived sheet this week, so enter it). Enter a value in "Locked at" for any game you've already locked or want to keep where it is. * no moneyline; win chance estimated from the spread.