Re-sort — 2026 Week 11

Games that have kicked off are locked at the confidence you gave them. Every other game is re-ranked by its live win probability (devigged moneyline) and gets the confidence values still unused: every favorite, the highest value to the likeliest winner. Re-sort before each kickoff window, ideally Sunday around 11:30 ET once inactives are out. Back to the sheet

ConfPickGameWin % LineLocked at
13 BUF
Sun 1:00 PM ET
MIA @ BUF 82.7% -11.5
12 KC
Sun 1:00 PM ET
ARI @ KC 82.2% -11.5
11 LAC
Sun 4:05 PM ET
NYJ @ LAC 77.7% -9.5
10 DEN
Sun 4:25 PM ET
LV @ DEN 74.1% -7.5
9 DAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TEN @ DAL 71.4% -6.5
8 CHI
Sun 1:00 PM ET
NO @ CHI 71.0% -6.5
7 HOU
Thu 8:15 PM ET
IND @ HOU 67.5% -5.5
6 PHI
Sun 4:25 PM ET
PIT @ PHI 67.5% -5.5
5 DET
Sun 1:00 PM ET
TB @ DET 66.4% -4.5
4 BAL
Sun 1:00 PM ET
BAL @ CAR 65.7% -4.5
3 SF
Sun 8:20 PM ET
MIN @ SF 63.1% -3.5
2 JAX
Sun 1:00 PM ET
JAX @ NYG 53.2% -1.5
1 CIN
Mon 8:15 PM ET
CIN @ WAS 53.2% -1.5

Odds as of 2026-09-13 16:59 UTC. A started game you leave blank keeps its value from the archived sheet (there is no archived sheet this week, so enter it). Enter a value in "Locked at" for any game you've already locked or want to keep where it is. * no moneyline; win chance estimated from the spread.