EPA splits

Team EPA (expected points added) per play, by situation. On defense it is EPA allowed, so lower is better. Colors compare each team with the league in the same situation. Small numbers are plays; faded cells have fewer than 30.

Seasons
to Weeks to
2026 through week 9
Team
← All teams PHI players: Passing →Rushing →Receiving →

PHI, every split

EPA/play with the league average in the same situation and the team's rank among 32 (1 = best; on defense, fewest EPA allowed). Offense and defense situations are each from PHI's side.

SituationOffenseLeagueRankDefenseLeagueRank
All plays Overall
All plays -0.096501 +0.006 29/32 +0.094549 +0.006 29/32
Home / away Setting
Home -0.080244 +0.001 24/32 +0.133295 +0.008 27/32
Away -0.111195 +0.008 29/32 +0.067182 +0.001 24/32
Neutral site -0.11262 +0.038 9/11 +0.00172 +0.038 4/11
Rest days Setting
Normal (6–8 days) -0.110448 -0.012 28/32 +0.097480 +0.016 26/32
Indoors / outdoors Weather
Outdoors -0.096501 +0.009 29/32 +0.094549 +0.009 26/32
Temperature (outdoors) Weather
60–79°F -0.279111 +0.029 29/29 +0.069153 +0.029 17/29
80°F+ +0.035129 +0.019 10/20 +0.060122 +0.019 12/20
Wind (outdoors) Weather
0–9 mph -0.110240 +0.020 25/29 +0.065275 +0.020 20/29
Rain or snow (outdoors) Weather
Dry -0.070440 +0.022 26/32 +0.108466 +0.022 25/32
Rain or snow -0.28061 -0.114 12/14 +0.01583 -0.114 12/14
Score Game state
Trailing 9+ -0.08478 +0.019 26/32 +0.28442 +0.014 29/32
Trailing 1–8 -0.037208 +0.011 18/32 +0.044150 -0.002 19/32
Tied -0.13695 -0.009 24/32 -0.07992 -0.009 13/32
Leading 1–8 -0.09599 -0.002 21/32 +0.161198 +0.011 27/32
Leading 9+ -0.54921 +0.014 30/32 +0.12467 +0.019 21/32
Win probability Game state
Win prob under 20% -0.34864 +0.020 30/31 +0.13893 -0.015 27/32
Win prob 20–80% -0.034410 +0.008 23/32 +0.056395 +0.008 24/32
Win prob over 80% -0.44627 -0.015 30/32 +0.27361 +0.020 26/32
Quarter Game state
Q1 -0.149115 -0.034 23/32 -0.065122 -0.034 15/32
Q2 +0.224140 +0.026 2/32 +0.072150 +0.026 23/32
Q3 -0.391116 +0.005 32/32 +0.022129 +0.005 20/32
Q4 -0.130130 +0.016 27/32 +0.310148 +0.016 32/32
Two-minute Game state
Last 2 min of half +0.16765 +0.017 9/32 +0.10963 +0.017 21/32
Rest of game -0.135436 +0.004 31/32 +0.092486 +0.004 28/32
Down Situation
1st down -0.087201 +0.008 27/32 +0.060238 +0.008 25/32
2nd down -0.122167 -0.005 27/32 -0.020176 -0.005 13/32
3rd down +0.006116 +0.004 12/32 +0.225121 +0.004 27/32
4th down -0.64517 +0.140 27/32 +0.97614 +0.140 26/32
3rd-down distance Situation
3rd & 1–3 -0.57020 +0.006 32/32 +0.48641 +0.006 29/32
3rd & 4–6 +0.43836 +0.047 6/32 +0.27921 +0.047 23/32
3rd & 7+ -0.06160 -0.020 22/32 +0.02359 -0.020 16/32
Field position Situation
Own 20 and in -0.30550 -0.017 31/32 -0.12574 -0.017 7/32
Own 50–21 -0.077246 -0.018 26/32 +0.103202 -0.018 31/32
Opp 21–49 -0.120140 +0.028 30/32 +0.151162 +0.028 26/32
Red zone (opp 20 in) +0.04365 +0.043 14/32 +0.139111 +0.043 22/32
Formation Style
Shotgun -0.073362 +0.026 27/32 +0.072313 +0.026 22/32
Under center -0.157139 -0.026 28/32 +0.123236 -0.026 32/32
Tempo Style
Huddle -0.087424 +0.001 27/32 +0.084511 +0.001 28/32
No huddle -0.14577 +0.080 27/32 +0.22238 +0.080 24/32
How much to trust a split A play is a dropback (sacks and scrambles included) or a designed run. EPA swings about ±1.4 points a play, so 100 plays carry about ±0.14 of luck, and a season split of a few hundred plays still moves ±0.07–0.10 by chance. Situations also track team quality: good offenses spend more time leading, and teams trailing late face soft defenses. A split describes what happened until it holds across seasons. Source: nflverse play-by-play, rebuilt daily.