Track Record
Full transparency on all alerts, CLV tracking, and performance metrics.
Polling regime
Showing only picks made under burst_2026_09: 4-hourly baseline plus 1-minute polling in the hour before kickoff. 1,894 settled so far. The previous era's 12,821 settled picks are kept but left out. At 30–60 minute polling, 70% of them quoted a price that was gone by the next poll. Show all regimes.
How to read this
Current ruleset (would-have-been) view. These numbers retroactively exclude picks that today's selection rules would have suppressed (50.9% of the picks shown in this window). It is a hypothetical, not the record. See the default as-shown record for what betting every displayed pick returned.
Recent Performance
Last 7 Days
CLV+ Rate
93.50%
Avg Edge
+1.81%
ROI
+37.04%
Record
1-0
Win Rate
100.00%
Last 30 Days
CLV+ Rate
81.10%
Avg Edge
+1.09%
ROI
+5.71%
Record
155-93
Win Rate
62.50%
CLV+ Rate
78.30%
Beat the closing line (no-vig devig CLV, reliable closes only)
Average CLV
+1.00%
Edge vs closing line
ROI (90d)
+5.88%
95% CI [-2.8, +14.6]%
All-time +5.88% (n=368, not significant)
Total Alerts
726
368 settled
Win Rate
62.20%
229W - 139L
Track Record
Verified
Over 700+ alerts tracked
CLV Distribution
No-vig CLV for alerts with a captured close. Positive means the alert's price beat the fair closing line.
Performance by Sport
| Sport | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nfl | 376 | 77.00% | +1.10% | 65.20% | 15-8 | +1.75% |
| nba | 12 | 58.30% | +0.07% | 58.30% | 7-5 | +2.75% |
| nhl | 329 | 81.50% | +1.00% | 62.80% | 204-121 | +7.54% |
| tennis_wta | 3 | 66.70% | -4.03% | 100.00% | 2-0 | +22.91% |
| mlb | 6 | 0.00% | -2.09% | 16.70% | 1-5 | -67.46% |
Performance by Bet Type
| Bet Type | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receptions | 192 | 83.90% | +1.30% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Pass Tds | 31 | 77.40% | +0.81% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Rush Yds | 44 | 81.80% | +1.41% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Reception Yds | 72 | 73.60% | +1.13% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Moneyline | 23 | 43.50% | -0.92% | 77.30% | 17-5 | +9.58% |
| Pass Yds | 14 | 42.90% | -0.10% | 0.00% | 0-0 | +0.00% |
| Total | 15 | 0.00% | -1.95% | 35.70% | 5-9 | -30.01% |
| Points | 262 | 81.30% | +0.81% | 62.90% | 163-96 | +5.65% |
| h2h | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Detector Source
Alerts by detector. market_consensus is the line-shopping detector.
nhl_stacking_v3 is the NHL stacking model, live since 2026-09-26.
Older model sources (nba_model_v2, nhl_model_v1) were retired on 2026-05-30.
| Source | Alerts | CLV+ Rate | Avg CLV | Win Rate | W-L | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| market_consensus | 653 | 78.20% | +0.93% | 62.70% | 185-110 | +4.25% |
| nhl_stacking_v3 | 73 | 79.50% | +1.60% | 60.30% | 44-29 | +12.48% |
Performance by Movement Signal
| Movement Class | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| away_large | 9-10 | 47.40% | -16.34% |
| toward_pick | 44-21 | 67.70% | +10.30% |
| stable | 157-272 | 36.60% | -25.90% |
| away_small | 14-23 | 37.80% | -22.45% |
| RLM Status | Record | Win Rate | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| No RLM | 204-291 | 41.20% | -20.10% |
| RLM | 20-35 | 36.40% | -29.16% |
Alert Log
Showing 726 most recent alerts| Date | Sport | Type | Selection | Book | Alert Odds | Close Odds | CLV | EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jakobi Meyers Under 3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
|
DraftKings | -142 | -155 | +1.00% | +1.66% | NONE |
| 11/05/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Trevor Lawrence Over 1.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Baltimore Ravens
|
FanDuel | -122 | -129 | +0.42% | +1.53% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Luther Burden III Under 3.5
Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -109 | -125 | +2.41% | +1.68% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Rachaad White Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
DraftKings | -125 | -141 | +2.41% | +0.87% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Antonio Williams Under 3.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -155 | -178 | +2.34% | +1.31% | NONE |
| 11/02/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Antonio Williams Over 37.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.46% | +1.04% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Saquon Barkley Under 2.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
FanDuel | -158 | -207 | +5.24% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dallas Goedert Over 4.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Commanders
|
BetMGM | -140 | -151 | +0.54% | +1.94% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Los Angeles Rams ML
Los Angeles Chargers @ Los Angeles Rams
|
DraftKings | -270 | -294 | +0.21% | +0.8% | WIN |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 10.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -125 | +1.24% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Bijan Robinson Over 80.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -130 | +2.41% | +1.75% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dalton Kincaid Under 46.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -113 | -143 | +4.33% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Mike Gesicki Under 2.5
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +1.44% | +2.48% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Jared Goff Under 259.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -112 | -136 | +1.72% | +5.13% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Under 29.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -110 | -141 | +4.40% | +2.9% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Sam LaPorta Under 45.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.34% | +1.24% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Geno Smith Under 1.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
Fanatics | -110 | -122 | +1.91% | +1.12% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Josh Cuevas Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -174 | -199 | +2.37% | +0.96% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ja'Kobi Lane Under 2.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
BetMGM | +100 | -113 | +2.37% | +1.2% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -140 | -147 | +0.22% | +1.44% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Rodgers Under 0.5
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -113 | +0.67% | +1.58% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions
|
DraftKings | -142 | -158 | +1.55% | +1.52% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Mayer Over 25.5
Las Vegas Raiders @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -112 | -129 | +2.01% | +2.47% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Michael Wilson Over 56.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -110 | -2.14% | +2.45% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Ryan Flournoy Under 3.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
DraftKings | -123 | -141 | +2.41% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Michael Wilson Over 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -118 | -134 | +2.54% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
CeeDee Lamb Over 6.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -106 | -121 | +2.60% | +1.18% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
George Pickens Under 4.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
BetMGM | -110 | -126 | +2.38% | +1.65% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tez Johnson Under 2.5
Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
|
DraftKings | -128 | -154 | +2.34% | +3.37% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Lamar Jackson Under 1.5
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills
|
FanDuel | -110 | -120 | +1.40% | +1.28% | NONE |
| 11/01/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jeremiyah Love Over 41.5
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.49% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Savion Williams Under 3.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
DraftKings | -104 | -120 | +2.31% | +2.17% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mitchell Evans Under 6.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | +100 | -114 | +2.80% | +0.84% | NONE |
| 10/29/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Bryce Young Under 252.5
Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers
|
FanDuel | -113 | -112 | -1.57% | +2.24% | NONE |
| 10/26/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Saquon Barkley Under 68.5
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
|
FanDuel | -113 | -121 | +0.79% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Patrick Mahomes Under 17.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -112 | -126 | +2.24% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Emanuel Wilson Under 7.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
BetMGM | -115 | -131 | +2.21% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tyler Allgeier Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -157 | -183 | +1.74% | +2.64% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Under 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -114 | -130 | +2.24% | +1.67% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Kendrick Bourne Under 34.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -113 | -126 | +2.01% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Kyle Juszczyk Under 1.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
BetMGM | -120 | -133 | +1.84% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Denzel Boston Under 51.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -115 | -138 | +2.11% | +3.91% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Carnell Tate Under 4.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -111 | -128 | +2.18% | +2.26% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dalton Schultz Under 3.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -152 | -171 | +1.93% | +1.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jordan Addison Under 3.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -140 | -158 | +1.98% | +1.39% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
Seattle Seahawks ML
Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks
|
DraftKings | -142 | -151 | +0.21% | +0.64% | WIN |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
RJ Harvey Over 24.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
FanDuel | -106 | -123 | +1.88% | +3.12% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Elijah Higgins Over 12.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -109 | -116 | -0.80% | +3.96% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Kyler Murray Under 25.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +2.15% | +1.87% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Seth McGowan Under 13.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -106 | -128 | +2.30% | +4.08% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Mason Taylor Over 17.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Garrett Wilson Over 62.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -113 | -132 | +3.16% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Jordan Mason Under 49.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -113 | -129 | +1.83% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Brock Purdy Over 19.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
DraftKings | -113 | -132 | +2.18% | +2.76% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Woody Marks Under 2.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
Bovada | -110 | -135 | +4.40% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Kyler Murray Under 1.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
Fanatics | -120 | -135 | +0.49% | +3.89% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Justin Jefferson Over 72.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -128 | +2.40% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
T.J. Hockenson Under 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
DraftKings | -134 | -152 | +2.14% | +1.41% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyler Allgeier Under 10.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -127 | +2.21% | +3.07% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
J.K. Dobbins Under 4.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -107 | -126 | +2.13% | +3.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Evan Engram Under 2.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
DraftKings | -108 | -142 | +5.97% | +1.34% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Jalen Brooks Over 1.5
Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals
|
BetMGM | -111 | +107 | -5.20% | +1.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Tank Dell Over 0.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -212 | -268 | +3.14% | +2.25% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
John Metchie III Under 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -136 | -141 | +0.23% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Dylan Sampson Over 1.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
DraftKings | -126 | -141 | +1.89% | +1.36% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
DK Metcalf Over 4.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -123 | -140 | +2.16% | +1.61% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Moneyline |
New York Jets ML
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -190 | -195 | -0.78% | +1.48% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Devin Singletary Under 6.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -127 | +0.29% | +5.51% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Chris Godwin Over 4.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -106 | -122 | +2.25% | +2.15% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Dylan Sampson Over 10.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -104 | -2.67% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tony Pollard Under 6.5
Cleveland Browns @ Tennessee Titans
|
BetMGM | -110 | -102 | -3.25% | +2.28% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 23.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -113 | -109 | -1.81% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Tyrone Tracy Jr. Under 9.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
FanDuel | -113 | -131 | +2.21% | +2.4% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Nico Collins Over 4.5
New York Giants @ Houston Texans
|
DraftKings | -129 | -144 | +2.06% | +0.98% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Aaron Jones Over 38.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
FanDuel | -113 | -119 | -0.38% | +2.76% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Josh Downs Over 4.5
Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
|
BetMGM | -105 | -120 | +2.31% | +1.75% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Ollie Gordon II Under 8.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
FanDuel | -113 | -133 | +2.15% | +3.12% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Omar Cooper Jr. Under 2.5
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets
|
DraftKings | +100 | -111 | +1.43% | +2.09% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Yds |
Michael Penix Jr. Over 229.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
FanDuel | -113 | -108 | -2.04% | +1.5% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Drake London Over 83.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
FanDuel | -113 | -107 | -2.05% | +1.14% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Drake London Over 5.5
San Francisco 49ers @ Atlanta Falcons
|
DraftKings | -148 | -164 | +1.51% | +1.37% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Tyler Huntley Over 25.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
|
FanDuel | -113 | -126 | +2.10% | +0.99% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Derrick Henry Under 6.5
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens
|
DraftKings | -108 | -126 | +2.24% | +2.69% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Pass Tds |
Baker Mayfield Under 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
Bovada | -170 | -193 | +1.82% | +1.52% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Rush Yds |
Sean Tucker Under 7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
DraftKings | -106 | -121 | +2.27% | +1.74% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Bucky Irving Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers
|
FanDuel | -140 | -160 | +2.46% | +1.13% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Total |
Over 43.0
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
Bovada | -105 | -116 | N/A | +1.43% | LOSS |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Rico Dowdle Under 7.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -110 | -126 | +2.24% | +1.9% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Receptions |
Juwan Johnson Under 3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
BetMGM | -105 | -121 | +2.27% | +2.16% | NONE |
| 10/25/26 | nfl | Reception Yds |
Jaylen Warren Under 25.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New Orleans Saints
|
DraftKings | -110 | -123 | +2.22% | +0.95% | NONE |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Moneyline |
Los Angeles Clippers ML
Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers
|
FanDuel | -180 | -185 | -0.47% | +1.5% | WIN |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Points |
Dylan Harper Under 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -119 | +0.10% | +2.09% | LOSS |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Moneyline |
Toronto Raptors ML
Chicago Bulls @ Toronto Raptors
|
FanDuel | -360 | -437 | +1.45% | +1.87% | WIN |
| 10/21/26 | nba | Points |
Jared McCain Over 9.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -122 | +0.65% | +1.11% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Ajay Mitchell Over 11.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | -106 | -117 | -0.35% | +2.68% | LOSS |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Dylan Harper Over 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
FanDuel | +100 | -105 | -1.56% | +1.23% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Dmitry Orlov Under 0.5
San Jose Sharks @ Montréal Canadiens
|
DraftKings | -145 | -170 | +0.28% | +1.23% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nba | Points |
Stephon Castle Over 15.5
Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs
|
BetMGM | -111 | -127 | +0.49% | +1.08% | WIN |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
John Carlson Under 0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
|
BetMGM | -135 | -158 | +0.34% | +1.36% | LOSS |
| 10/20/26 | nhl | Points |
Jake Guentzel Over 0.5
Tampa Bay Lightning @ Vegas Golden Knights
|
BetMGM | -150 | -185 | +1.18% | +2.75% | LOSS |
How EV is calculated
Fair probabilities are Pinnacle's prices with the margin removed (Shin's method). EV compares a retail book's price with that fair probability.
Read Full Methodology