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North Dakota
St. Thomas
2026-11-14
North Dakota
4-3
T
L
L
L
W
1-3 L5
VS
Upcoming
St. Thomas
3-4
W
W
L
L
L
2-3 L5
W2
Our Prediction
Pick
North Dakota
Predicted Score
4 - 3
Total: 6.4
Confidence
High
Elo Edge: -222
North Dakota
75%
St. Thomas
25%
Model Line Projections
Spread
St. Thomas -0.9
Total
O/U 6.4
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
North Dakota
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 8.8% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Win conference tournament | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 79% | 82% | 72% |
| Make Frozen Four | 24% | 25% | 21% |
| Win national title | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
St. Thomas
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| North Dakota | Stat | St. Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 3-4 |
| 3.50 | Goals/Game | 2.29 |
| 2.75 | Goals Against/Game | 2.43 |
| +6 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 3-0 | Home Record | 2-2 |
| 1-3 | Away Record | 1-2 |
| 31.4% (11/35) | Power Play % | 20.7% (6/29) |
| 83.3% (25/30) | Penalty Kill % | 73.9% (17/23) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
St. Thomas: 0-2
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2025 | vs North Dakota | L 2-5 |
| Oct 10, 2025 | @ North Dakota | L 2-6 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
North Dakota
1-3 L5
T
L
L
L
W
| Nov 6 | vs Western Michigan | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 31 | @ Michigan State | 3-5 |
| Oct 23 | @ Minnesota | 3-5 |
| Oct 22 | @ Minnesota | 3-5 |
| Oct 17 | vs Bentley | 5-0 |
St. Thomas
2-3 L5
W
W
L
L
L
| Nov 6 | vs Alaska-Anchorage | 5-2 |
| Oct 31 | @ Miami | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | @ Miami | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | @ Minnesota State | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | vs Minnesota State | 1-3 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
North Dakota Size Extremes
- TallestKeaton Verhoeff D 6-4
- ShortestBrock Schultz F 5-8
- HeaviestKeaton Verhoeff D 215 lb
- LightestMac Swanson F 170 lb
26 players on the listed roster
St. Thomas Size Extremes
- TallestBauer Berry D, Carsen Musser G, Justin Kipkie D, Kade Stengrim F, Nathan Pilling F, Winter Wallace F 6-4
- ShortestAttila Lippai F 5-9
- HeaviestWinter Wallace F 222 lb
- LightestJakub Altrichter F 165 lb
26 players on the listed roster
North Dakota Top Scorers
- Will Zellers 3G / 7A / 10P
- Cole Reschny 4G / 4A / 8P
- Hudson Malinoski 3G / 4A / 7P
- Jack Kernan 3G / 3A / 6P
- Mac Swanson 2G / 4A / 6P
St. Thomas Top Scorers
- Lucas Van Vliet 6G / 2A / 8P
- Nathan Pilling 4G / 3A / 7P
- Chase Cheslock 2G / 5A / 7P
- Justin Kipkie 0G / 4A / 4P
- David Rozsival 1G / 2A / 3P
North Dakota Goalies
- Jan Špunar 5GP / 0.866 SV%
- Caleb Heil 3GP / 0.934 SV%
St. Thomas Goalies
- William Ingemann 4GP / 0.950 SV%
- Ajay White 2GP / 0.894 SV%