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Ferris State
Augustana
2026-11-14
Ferris State
1-5
T
L
W
L
L
1-3 L5
VS
Upcoming
Augustana
7-0
T
W
W
W
W
4-0 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Augustana
Predicted Score
1 - 6
Total: 6.9
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +344
Ferris State
11%
Augustana
89%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Augustana +4.1
Total
O/U 6.9
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Ferris State
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Make Frozen Four | <0.1% | 0.0% | <0.1% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Augustana
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 59% | 60% | 50% |
| Win conference tournament | 42% | 42% | 40% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 86% | 87% | 78% |
| Make Frozen Four | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| Win national title | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Ferris State | Stat | Augustana |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 7-0 |
| 1.75 | Goals/Game | 3.89 |
| 4.25 | Goals Against/Game | 1.67 |
| -20 | Goal Differential | +20 |
| 1-2 | Home Record | 4-0 |
| 0-3 | Away Record | 3-0 |
| 16.7% (3/18) | Power Play % | 15.6% (5/32) |
| 84.0% (21/25) | Penalty Kill % | 83.3% (20/24) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Augustana: 4-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Ferris State | W 4-3 OT |
| Jan 16, 2026 | vs Ferris State | W 4-0 |
| Nov 08, 2025 | @ Ferris State | L 0-2 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | @ Ferris State | W 4-2 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Ferris State | W 4-1 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Ferris State
1-3 L5
T
L
W
L
L
| Oct 31 | @ Bemidji State | 4-4 OT |
| Oct 30 | @ Bemidji State | 1-6 |
| Oct 24 | vs Michigan Tech | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | vs Michigan Tech | 1-3 |
| Oct 9 | vs Western Michigan | 1-5 |
Augustana
4-0 L5
T
W
W
W
W
| Nov 6 | @ Michigan Tech | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 31 | vs Northern Michigan | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | vs Northern Michigan | 12-0 |
| Oct 24 | @ Ohio State | 4-3 |
| Oct 23 | @ Ohio State | 3-2 OT |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
| Player | Pos | Now | Formerly | Seasons there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Burtch | F | Augustana | Ferris State | 2024-25 |
Ferris State Size Extremes
- TallestTrevor Taulien D 6-4
- ShortestBrecken Smith F 5-9
- HeaviestTrevor Taulien D 225 lb
- LightestChristopher Lie D 159 lb
33 players on the listed roster
Augustana Size Extremes
- TallestHayden Hennen D, Mathis Langevin G 6-4
- ShortestErick Comstock D 5-7
- HeaviestJeff Hutchinson D 201 lb
- LightestErick Comstock D, Leonid Bulgakov F, Matsvei Marshchanok F, Siamion Marshchanok F 165 lb
28 players on the listed roster
Ferris State Top Scorers
- Adyn Merrick 2G / 1A / 3P
- Nathan Mackie 2G / 1A / 3P
- Nathan Leek 1G / 2A / 3P
- Owen Mehlenbacher 1G / 2A / 3P
- Akseli Pulkkanen 1G / 1A / 2P
Augustana Top Scorers
- Leonid Bulgakov 8G / 3A / 11P
- Owen Baumgartner 3G / 6A / 9P
- Nace Langus 5G / 2A / 7P
- Heath Nelson 3G / 4A / 7P
- Brett Meerman 3G / 3A / 6P
Ferris State Goalies
- Alan Lendak 5GP / 0.883 SV%
- Martin Lundberg 1GP / 0.846 SV%
Augustana Goalies
- Mathis Langevin 9GP / 0.938 SV%