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Michigan State
Notre Dame
2026-11-12
Michigan State
5-2
L
W
W
L
W
3-2 L5
VS
Upcoming
Notre Dame
3-5-1
W
L
L
L
O
1-3-1 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Michigan State
Predicted Score
4 - 2
Total: 6.1
Confidence
High
Elo Edge: -292
Michigan State
70%
Notre Dame
30%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Notre Dame -1.4
Total
O/U 6.1
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Michigan State
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 29% | 32% | 21% |
| Win conference tournament | 27% | 27% | 26% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 87% | 89% | 81% |
| Make Frozen Four | 31% | 32% | 27% |
| Win national title | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
Notre Dame
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Win national title | <0.1% | 0.0% | <0.1% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Michigan State | Stat | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 3-5-1 |
| 3.57 | Goals/Game | 2.11 |
| 2.14 | Goals Against/Game | 4.33 |
| +10 | Goal Differential | -20 |
| 3-1 | Home Record | 2-3-1 |
| 2-1 | Away Record | 1-3 |
| 37.9% (11/29) | Power Play % | 21.7% (5/23) |
| 76.0% (19/25) | Penalty Kill % | 60.0% (24/40) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Notre Dame: 0-5
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L 2-8 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | @ Michigan State | L 2-4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | vs Michigan State | L 1-3 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | vs Michigan State | L 1-4 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | @ Michigan State | L 0-1 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Michigan State
3-2 L5
L
W
W
L
W
| Nov 6 | vs Boston University | 2-6 |
| Oct 31 | vs North Dakota | 5-3 |
| Oct 24 | @ New Hampshire | 2-1 |
| Oct 23 | @ New Hampshire | 0-1 |
| Oct 17 | @ RIT | 5-1 |
Notre Dame
1-3-1 L5
W
L
L
L
O
| Nov 6 | @ Penn State | 5-4 OT |
| Oct 31 | @ Wisconsin | 1-9 |
| Oct 30 | @ Wisconsin | 1-7 |
| Oct 24 | vs Merrimack | 3-6 |
| Oct 23 | vs Merrimack | 1-2 OT |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Michigan State Size Extremes
- TallestCole Ward D, Mason West F, Matthew Lahey D, Sean Barnhill D 6-6
- ShortestCullen Potter F, Griffin Jurecki F, Owen West D 5-10
- HeaviestEthan Belchetz F 235 lb
- LightestEric Nilson F 165 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Notre Dame Size Extremes
- TallestJimmy Jurcev D 6-5
- ShortestEvan Werner F 5-8
- HeaviestWilliam Belle F 218 lb
- LightestCarter Slaggert F 172 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Michigan State Top Scorers
- Anthony Romani 7G / 3A / 10P
- Ryker Lee 3G / 6A / 9P
- Chase Reid 1G / 6A / 7P
- Eric Nilson 2G / 4A / 6P
- Gavin O'Connell 1G / 5A / 6P
Notre Dame Top Scorers
- Danny Nelson 3G / 5A / 8P
- Evan Werner 5G / 2A / 7P
- Paul Fischer 1G / 5A / 6P
- Brennan Ali 2G / 1A / 3P
- Beckham Edwards 1G / 2A / 3P
Michigan State Goalies
- Joshua Ravensbergen 6GP / 0.930 SV%
- Quentin Sigurdson 2GP / 0.939 SV%
Notre Dame Goalies
- Patrick Quinlan 5GP / 0.848 SV%
- Nicholas Kempf 4GP / 0.922 SV%