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Yale
Harvard
2026-11-07
Yale
1-1
L
W
1-1 L5
VS
Upcoming
Harvard
2-1
W
L
W
2-1 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Harvard
Predicted Score
2 - 3
Total: 5.4
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +206
Yale
24%
Harvard
76%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Harvard +1.2
Total
O/U 5.4
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Yale
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.1% | <0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Harvard
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Win conference tournament | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 8.6% | 9.5% | 5.6% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Win national title | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Yale | Stat | Harvard |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2.00 | Goals/Game | 2.67 |
| 2.00 | Goals Against/Game | 2.00 |
| 0 | Goal Differential | +2 |
| 1-0 | Home Record | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | Away Record | 0-1 |
| 33.3% (2/6) | Power Play % | 11.1% (1/9) |
| 75.0% (6/8) | Penalty Kill % | 81.8% (9/11) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Harvard: 4-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | @ Yale | L 2-3 OT |
| Dec 05, 2025 | vs Yale | W 3-2 |
| Feb 28, 2025 | @ Yale | W 4-3 OT |
| Jan 11, 2025 | vs Yale | W 3-1 |
| Mar 01, 2024 | vs Yale | W 2-1 OT |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Yale
1-1 L5
L
W
| Nov 6 | @ Dartmouth | 2-3 |
| Oct 30 | vs Brown | 2-1 |
Harvard
2-1 L5
W
L
W
| Nov 6 | vs Brown | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | @ Massachusetts | 2-4 |
| Oct 29 | vs Massachusetts | 2-1 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Yale Size Extremes
- TallestJulian Frias F 6-5
- ShortestHughie Hooker D 5-7
- HeaviestJulian Frias F 210 lb
- LightestTom Molson F 154 lb
30 players on the listed roster
Harvard Size Extremes
- TallestJames Mackey D 6-7
- ShortestRichard Gallant F 5-8
- HeaviestJames Mackey D 235 lb
- LightestEvan Zhang G 165 lb
29 players on the listed roster
Yale Top Scorers
- Kyle O'Leary 2G / 0A / 2P
- Will Richter 2G / 0A / 2P
- Micah Berger 0G / 2A / 2P
- Ronan O'Donnell 0G / 2A / 2P
- Donovan Frias 0G / 1A / 1P
Harvard Top Scorers
- Mick Thompson 2G / 1A / 3P
- Heikki Ruohonen 1G / 2A / 3P
- Matthew Morden 1G / 2A / 3P
- Aidan Lane 1G / 1A / 2P
- Ben MacDonald 1G / 0A / 1P
Yale Goalies
- Jack Stark 1GP / 0.969 SV%
- Noah Pak 1GP / 0.935 SV%
Harvard Goalies
- Ben Charette 2GP / 0.963 SV%
- Rudy Guimond 1GP / 0.893 SV%