← Back to Schedule
Providence
Connecticut
2026-11-07
Providence
5-2
L
L
W
W
W
3-2 L5
L2
VS
Upcoming
Connecticut
4-4
W
T
L
L
W
2-2 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Connecticut
Predicted Score
3 - 3
Total: 6.2
Confidence
Low
Elo Edge: -48
Providence
48%
Connecticut
52%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Connecticu +0.1
Total
O/U 6.2
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Providence
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 25% | 32% | 19% |
| Win conference tournament | 19% | 19% | 19% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 65% | 71% | 59% |
| Make Frozen Four | 15% | 17% | 14% |
| Win national title | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
Connecticut
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 8.2% | 12% | 4.4% |
| Win conference tournament | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 35% | 42% | 28% |
| Make Frozen Four | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Win national title | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Providence | Stat | Connecticut |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 4-4 |
| 3.86 | Goals/Game | 3.56 |
| 2.43 | Goals Against/Game | 4.11 |
| +10 | Goal Differential | -5 |
| 3-1 | Home Record | 3-2 |
| 2-1 | Away Record | 1-2 |
| 11.8% (4/34) | Power Play % | 29.0% (9/31) |
| 80.0% (20/25) | Penalty Kill % | 87.5% (28/32) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Connecticut: 2-2-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 05, 2026 | @ Providence | W 6-5 |
| Mar 07, 2026 | @ Providence | L 1-3 |
| Nov 08, 2025 | @ Providence | T 2-2 OT |
| Nov 07, 2025 | vs Providence | L 1-4 |
| Mar 14, 2025 | vs Providence | W 3-1 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Providence
3-2 L5
L
L
W
W
W
| Nov 5 | vs Connecticut | 5-6 |
| Oct 31 | @ Quinnipiac | 1-5 |
| Oct 24 | vs Mass.-Lowell | 5-2 |
| Oct 23 | @ Mass.-Lowell | 3-0 |
| Oct 16 | @ Union | 3-2 OT |
Connecticut
2-2 L5
W
T
L
L
W
| Nov 5 | @ Providence | 6-5 |
| Oct 31 | @ Merrimack | 5-5 OT |
| Oct 30 | @ Merrimack | 4-5 |
| Oct 24 | @ Boston University | 3-6 |
| Oct 22 | vs Boston University | 5-4 OT |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Providence Size Extremes
- TallestGibson Homer G 6-6
- ShortestAaron Matthews G, Andrew Centrella D, Beau Jelsma F 5-9
- HeaviestAleksi Kivioja F 220 lb
- LightestAaron Matthews G 165 lb
27 players on the listed roster
Connecticut Size Extremes
- TallestBrendan Dunphy D, Owen Simpson D 6-5
- ShortestColin Frank F 5-6
- HeaviestEthan Whitcomb F 209 lb
- LightestJoey Muldowney F 160 lb
27 players on the listed roster
Providence Top Scorers
- Logan Sawyer 1G / 8A / 9P
- Julius Sumpf 0G / 9A / 9P
- John Mustard 3G / 4A / 7P
- Quinn Mantei 1G / 6A / 7P
- Jonathan Fauchon 4G / 2A / 6P
Connecticut Top Scorers
- Joey Muldowney 6G / 4A / 10P
- Jeremy Loranger 4G / 4A / 8P
- Alexandre Blais 0G / 8A / 8P
- Ethan Gardula 3G / 4A / 7P
- Kaden Shahan 6G / 0A / 6P
Providence Goalies
- Jack Parsons 6GP / 0.930 SV%
- Gibson Homer 2GP / 0.838 SV%
Connecticut Goalies
- Kam Hendrickson 5GP / 0.911 SV%
- Veeti Louhivaara 4GP / 0.866 SV%