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Minnesota State
Northern Michigan
2026-11-07
Minnesota State
2-4-1
L
T
T
W
W
2-1 L5
VS
Upcoming
Northern Michigan
3-5-1
W
L
L
O
W
2-2-1 L5
Our Prediction
Pick
Minnesota State
Predicted Score
3 - 3
Total: 6.3
Confidence
High
Elo Edge: -300
Minnesota State
72%
Northern Michig
28%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Northern M +0.5
Total
O/U 6.3
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Minnesota State
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 15% | 16% | 14% |
| Make Frozen Four | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Win national title | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Northern Michigan
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Minnesota State | Stat | Northern Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4-1 | Record | 3-5-1 |
| 1.78 | Goals/Game | 1.78 |
| 3.00 | Goals Against/Game | 3.89 |
| -11 | Goal Differential | -19 |
| 1-2 | Home Record | 3-2-1 |
| 1-3-1 | Away Record | 0-4 |
| 16.7% (5/30) | Power Play % | 9.1% (2/22) |
| 86.7% (26/30) | Penalty Kill % | 63.0% (17/27) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Northern Michigan: 1-3-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2026 | vs Minnesota State | W 2-1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | @ Minnesota State | L 0-3 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | @ Minnesota State | T 2-2 OT |
| Nov 29, 2025 | vs Minnesota State | L 2-3 |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Minnesota State | L 0-4 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Minnesota State
2-1 L5
L
T
T
W
W
| Nov 6 | @ Northern Michigan | 1-2 |
| Oct 31 | vs Lake Superior | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 30 | vs Lake Superior | 2-2 OT |
| Oct 24 | vs St. Thomas | 2-0 |
| Oct 23 | @ St. Thomas | 3-1 |
Northern Michigan
2-2-1 L5
W
L
L
O
W
| Nov 6 | vs Minnesota State | 2-1 |
| Oct 31 | @ Augustana | 1-4 |
| Oct 30 | @ Augustana | 0-12 |
| Oct 17 | vs Stonehill | 1-2 OT |
| Oct 16 | vs Stonehill | 5-1 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Minnesota State Size Extremes
- TallestDaimon Gardner G, Will Skahan D 6-5
- ShortestAlex Zetterberg F 5-8
- HeaviestWill Skahan D 223 lb
- LightestAlex Zetterberg F 164 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Northern Michigan Size Extremes
- TallestReilley Kotai F, Warren Clark D 6-3
- ShortestBranden Piku F 5-8
- HeaviestDarik Olson D, Owen Pitters F 198 lb
- LightestMathew Ward F 160 lb
27 players on the listed roster
Minnesota State Top Scorers
- Mason Kraft 2G / 4A / 6P
- Liam Watkins 2G / 3A / 5P
- Alex Zetterberg 1G / 4A / 5P
- Luigi Benincasa 0G / 4A / 4P
- Ean Somoza 3G / 0A / 3P
Northern Michigan Top Scorers
- Michael Burchill 2G / 2A / 4P
- Owen Pitters 1G / 3A / 4P
- Branden Piku 2G / 1A / 3P
- Mathew Ward 1G / 2A / 3P
- Darik Olson 2G / 0A / 2P
Minnesota State Goalies
- Lassi Lehti 6GP / 0.944 SV%
- Raiden LeGall 4GP / 0.876 SV%
Northern Michigan Goalies
- Oliver Auyeung-Ashton 5GP / 0.910 SV%
- Max Weilandt 2GP / 0.860 SV%