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2026-11-07
Army
Army
6-1
W W W W W
5-0 L5 W5
VS
Upcoming
Air Force
Air Force
3-6
L L W L L
1-4 L5 L2
Our Prediction
Pick
Army
Predicted Score
3 - 2
Total: 5.3
Confidence
Low
Elo Edge: -56
Army
53%
Air Force
47%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Air Force -0.2
Total
O/U 5.3
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Army
NowWith a winWith a loss
Win conference regular season 29% 34% 23%
Win conference tournament 17% 17% 16%
Make NCAA tournament 23% 25% 20%
Make Frozen Four 1.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Win national title 0.1% 0.1% <0.1%
Air Force
NowWith a winWith a loss
Win conference regular season 1.0% 1.6% 0.5%
Win conference tournament 4.6% 5.0% 4.3%
Make NCAA tournament 4.6% 5.0% 4.3%
Make Frozen Four 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Win national title <0.1% 0.0% <0.1%
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
Army Stat Air Force
6-1 Record 3-6
3.29 Goals/Game 2.67
1.57 Goals Against/Game 3.67
+12 Goal Differential -9
2-1 Home Record 1-3
4-0 Away Record 2-3
40.9% (9/22) Power Play % 18.2% (6/33)
84.6% (11/13) Penalty Kill % 74.3% (26/35)
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Air Force: 2-2-1
Date Matchup Result
Nov 06, 2026 vs Army L 1-4
Feb 21, 2026 vs Army T 0-0 OT
Feb 20, 2026 vs Army L 3-4
Nov 22, 2025 @ Army W 3-2 OT
Nov 21, 2025 @ Army W 6-3
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Army
5-0 L5 W W W W W
Nov 6 @ Air Force 4-1
Oct 31 vs RIT 3-0
Oct 30 vs RIT 2-0
Oct 23 @ Quinnipiac 4-3 OT
Oct 18 @ Holy Cross 3-1
Air Force
1-4 L5 L L W L L
Nov 6 vs Army 1-4
Oct 31 @ Robert Morris 2-3
Oct 30 @ Robert Morris 3-2
Oct 24 vs Colorado College 0-4
Oct 23 @ Colorado College 2-6
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Army Size Extremes
  • TallestBen Ivey F, Easton Zueger D, Jack Ivey F, Jacob Biron G 6-4
  • ShortestVincent Salice F 5-7
  • HeaviestBen Ivey F 210 lb
  • LightestNoah Mertz D 160 lb
32 players on the listed roster
Air Force Size Extremes
  • TallestGavin Reed D, Owen Dubois F, Zander Lipsett F 6-4
  • ShortestChristian Kim F 5-7
  • HeaviestGavin Reed D 218 lb
  • LightestCharles Panchisin F 160 lb
31 players on the listed roster
Army Top Scorers
  • Nils Forselius 3G / 5A / 8P
  • Ben Ivey 1G / 6A / 7P
  • Nik Hong 3G / 3A / 6P
  • Billy Batten 2G / 4A / 6P
  • Noah Mertz 2G / 3A / 5P
Air Force Top Scorers
  • Brendan Gibbons 4G / 4A / 8P
  • Nick Sajevic 2G / 6A / 8P
  • Brady Arneson 4G / 3A / 7P
  • Nolan Cunningham 2G / 5A / 7P
  • Sam Stitz 2G / 4A / 6P
Army Goalies
  • JJ Cataldo 6GP / 0.955 SV%
Air Force Goalies
  • Dominik Wasik 9GP / 0.897 SV%