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Alaska
Stonehill
2026-11-07
Alaska
2-6-1
W
L
L
L
L
1-4 L5
VS
Upcoming
Stonehill
3-5
L
L
L
L
W
1-4 L5
L4
Our Prediction
Pick
Alaska
Predicted Score
4 - 3
Total: 6.7
Confidence
Low
Elo Edge: -132
Alaska
55%
Stonehill
45%
Model Line Projections
Spread
Stonehill -0.4
Total
O/U 6.7
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Alaska
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Make Frozen Four | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Stonehill
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Alaska | Stat | Stonehill |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6-1 | Record | 3-5 |
| 1.00 | Goals/Game | 1.88 |
| 3.67 | Goals Against/Game | 2.75 |
| -24 | Goal Differential | -7 |
| 0-2-1 | Home Record | 2-3 |
| 2-5 | Away Record | 1-2 |
| 12.0% (3/25) | Power Play % | 13.5% (5/37) |
| 62.1% (18/29) | Penalty Kill % | 83.3% (25/30) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
Stonehill: 0-4-1
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2026 | vs Alaska | L 1-2 |
| Mar 06, 2026 | @ Alaska | T 4-4 OT |
| Mar 07, 2024 | @ Alaska | L 1-4 |
| Mar 06, 2024 | @ Alaska | L 1-9 |
| Nov 11, 2023 | vs Alaska | L 1-8 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Alaska
1-4 L5
W
L
L
L
L
| Nov 6 | @ Stonehill | 2-1 |
| Nov 1 | @ Dartmouth | 0-4 |
| Oct 31 | @ Dartmouth | 0-6 |
| Oct 17 | @ Michigan Tech | 2-4 |
| Oct 16 | @ Michigan Tech | 0-3 |
Stonehill
1-4 L5
L
L
L
L
W
| Nov 6 | vs Alaska | 1-2 |
| Oct 31 | vs Princeton | 2-3 |
| Oct 30 | vs Princeton | 0-3 |
| Oct 24 | @ Massachusetts | 3-5 |
| Oct 17 | @ Northern Michigan | 2-1 OT |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
| Player | Pos | Now | Formerly | Seasons there |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Lehtinen | F | Alaska | Stonehill | 2024-25, 2025-26 |
Alaska Size Extremes
- TallestSeth Fryer D 6-7
- ShortestMisha Danylov F, Taisetsu Ushio F 5-8
- HeaviestSeth Fryer D 209 lb
- LightestMisha Danylov F 155 lb
29 players on the listed roster
Stonehill Size Extremes
- TallestWyatt Davis D 6-5
- ShortestTanner Duncan F 5-9
- HeaviestAdam Mahler D 215 lb
- LightestDominick Campione D 170 lb
30 players on the listed roster
Alaska Top Scorers
- Rylen Roersma 1G / 3A / 4P
- Davis Borozinskis 2G / 0A / 2P
- Jack Rogers 1G / 1A / 2P
- Nathan Rickey 1G / 1A / 2P
- Joel Lehtinen 1G / 0A / 1P
Stonehill Top Scorers
- JJ Grainda 3G / 4A / 7P
- Luke Lepper 0G / 5A / 5P
- Matthew Rafalski 1G / 3A / 4P
- Liam Fitzpatrick 3G / 0A / 3P
- Anthony Galante 2G / 1A / 3P
Alaska Goalies
- Tyler Shea 6GP / 0.904 SV%
- Calvin Vachon 2GP / 0.833 SV%
Stonehill Goalies
- Mason Vaccari 5GP / 0.905 SV%
- Linards Lipskis 3GP / 0.902 SV%