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Alaska-Anchorage
St. Thomas
2026-11-07
Alaska-Anchorage
1-7-1
L
O
L
L
W
1-3-1 L5
L4
VS
Upcoming
St. Thomas
3-4
W
W
L
L
L
2-3 L5
W2
Our Prediction
Pick
St. Thomas
Predicted Score
2 - 4
Total: 5.8
Confidence
Very High
Elo Edge: +325
Alaska-Anchorag
14%
St. Thomas
86%
Model Line Projections
Spread
St. Thomas +2.6
Total
O/U 5.8
What's at Stake (season simulated 40,000 times)
Alaska-Anchorage
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
St. Thomas
| Now | With a win | With a loss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win conference regular season | <0.1% | <0.1% | <0.1% |
| Win conference tournament | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Make NCAA tournament | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Make Frozen Four | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Win national title | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Simulated 2026-11-07: remaining games from our model, 2026-27 conference tournament formats, NCAA field = 6 conference champions + 10 at-large by NPI. Conference tiebreakers random; NCAA bracket seeded straight by NPI. A shootout or OT win counts as a win here.
Season Stats Comparison
| Alaska-Anchorage | Stat | St. Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7-1 | Record | 3-4 |
| 2.00 | Goals/Game | 2.29 |
| 5.11 | Goals Against/Game | 2.43 |
| -28 | Goal Differential | -1 |
| 1-3 | Home Record | 2-2 |
| 0-5-1 | Away Record | 1-2 |
| 15.8% (3/19) | Power Play % | 20.7% (6/29) |
| 75.0% (21/28) | Penalty Kill % | 73.9% (17/23) |
Head-to-Head History (Last 5 Games)
St. Thomas: 1-0
| Date | Matchup | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 06, 2026 | vs Alaska-Anchorage | W 5-2 |
Recent Form (Last 5 Games)
Alaska-Anchorage
1-3-1 L5
L
O
L
L
W
| Nov 6 | @ St. Thomas | 2-5 |
| Oct 24 | @ Miami | 2-3 OT |
| Oct 23 | @ Miami | 1-5 |
| Oct 17 | vs Lake Superior | 2-4 |
| Oct 16 | vs Lake Superior | 5-2 |
St. Thomas
2-3 L5
W
W
L
L
L
| Nov 6 | vs Alaska-Anchorage | 5-2 |
| Oct 31 | @ Miami | 4-1 |
| Oct 30 | @ Miami | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | @ Minnesota State | 0-2 |
| Oct 23 | vs Minnesota State | 1-3 |
Played for the Other Side (2026-27 CHN rosters)
No one on either roster was on the other team's roster in an earlier season (CHN rosters go back to 2020-21).
Alaska-Anchorage Size Extremes
- TallestMatthew Martin-Gaudreault F 6-6
- ShortestDylan Contreras F 5-7
- HeaviestMatthew Martin-Gaudreault F 216 lb
- LightestTye Spencer F 143 lb
29 players on the listed roster
St. Thomas Size Extremes
- TallestBauer Berry D, Carsen Musser G, Justin Kipkie D, Kade Stengrim F, Nathan Pilling F, Winter Wallace F 6-4
- ShortestAttila Lippai F 5-9
- HeaviestWinter Wallace F 222 lb
- LightestJakub Altrichter F 165 lb
26 players on the listed roster
Alaska-Anchorage Top Scorers
- Oren Shtrom 2G / 5A / 7P
- Karter McNarland 1G / 5A / 6P
- Jalen Bianchet 1G / 4A / 5P
- Jacob Terpstra 2G / 2A / 4P
- Tye Spencer 1G / 3A / 4P
St. Thomas Top Scorers
- Lucas Van Vliet 6G / 2A / 8P
- Nathan Pilling 4G / 3A / 7P
- Chase Cheslock 2G / 5A / 7P
- Justin Kipkie 0G / 4A / 4P
- David Rozsival 1G / 2A / 3P
Alaska-Anchorage Goalies
- Joey Rocha 6GP / 0.868 SV%
- William Gramme 1GP / 0.787 SV%
St. Thomas Goalies
- William Ingemann 4GP / 0.950 SV%
- Ajay White 2GP / 0.894 SV%