Pick'em Mode
Week 8Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
76
Points Earned
91
Points Possible
83.5%
Percentage
11-2
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
 TEN
@
 IND
|
TEN -15.5
Lock
|
Correct
+13 pts
14 - 38
|
| 12 |
 WAS
@
 KC
|
WAS -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
7 - 28
|
| 11 |
 BUF
@
 CAR
|
CAR -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
40 - 9
|
| 10 |
 CLE
@
 NE
|
CLE -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
13 - 32
|
| 9 |
 NYG
@
 PHI
|
NYG -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
20 - 38
|
| 8 |
 MIA
@
 ATL
|
MIA -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 10
|
| 7 |
 NYJ
@
 CIN
|
NYJ -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
39 - 38
|
| 6 |
 TB
@
 NO
|
NO -4.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+6 pts
23 - 3
|
| 5 |
 DAL
@
 DEN
|
DAL -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+5 pts
24 - 44
|
| 4 |
 MIN
@
 LAC
|
MIN -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
10 - 37
|
| 3 |
 GB
@
 PIT
|
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+3 pts
35 - 25
|
| 2 |
 SF
@
 HOU
|
SF -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+2 pts
15 - 26
|
| 1 |
 CHI
@
 BAL
|
CHI -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+1 pts
16 - 30
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-13 to each pick.
1= least confident,13= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.