Pick'em Mode
Week 7Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
104
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
86.7%
Percentage
12-3
Record
0
Pending
15
pts
LV
KC *
LV -13.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
0 - 31
14
pts
NYG
DEN *
NYG -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
32 - 33
13
pts
GB *
ARI
ARI -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
27 - 23
12
pts
NE *
TEN
TEN -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
31 - 13
11
pts
TB
DET *
TB -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
9 - 24
10
pts
PIT *
CIN
CIN -5.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 33
9
pts
NO
CHI *
NO -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
14 - 26
8
pts
HOU
SEA *
HOU -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
19 - 27
7
pts
LA *
JAX
JAX -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
35 - 7
6
pts
MIA
CLE *
MIA -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
6 - 31
5
pts
IND
LAC *
IND -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
38 - 24
4
pts
PHI *
MIN
MIN -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
28 - 22
3
pts
WAS
DAL *
WAS -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+3 pts
22 - 44
2
pts
CAR *
NYJ
CAR -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
13 - 6
1
pts
ATL *
SF
ATL -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
10 - 20
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.