Pick'em Mode
Week 5Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
41
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
39.0%
Percentage
7-7
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
 DET
@
 CIN
|
CIN -10.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+14 pts
37 - 24
|
| 13 |
 SF
@
 LA
|
SF -8.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 23
|
| 12 |
 TEN
@
 ARI
|
TEN -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
22 - 21
|
| 11 |
 NE
@
 BUF
|
NE -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 20
|
| 10 |
 LV
@
 IND
|
LV -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
6 - 40
|
| 9 |
 DEN
@
 PHI
|
DEN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
21 - 17
|
| 8 |
 TB
@
 SEA
|
TB -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
38 - 35
|
| 7 |
 MIN
@
 CLE
|
CLE -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+7 pts
21 - 17
|
| 6 |
 KC
@
 JAX
|
JAX -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 31
|
| 5 |
 WAS
@
 LAC
|
WAS -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 10
|
| 4 |
 HOU
@
 BAL
|
BAL -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
44 - 10
|
| 3 |
 MIA
@
 CAR
|
CAR -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+3 pts
24 - 27
|
| 2 |
 NYG
@
 NO
|
NYG -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+2 pts
14 - 26
|
| 1 |
 DAL
@
 NYJ
|
DAL -1.5
Toss-up
|
Correct
+1 pts
37 - 22
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.