Pick'em Mode
Week 13Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
85
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
62.5%
Percentage
9-7
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
MIN
SEA *
MIN -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+16 pts
0 - 26
15
pts
LV
LAC *
LV -10.0
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
14 - 31
14
pts
LA *
CAR
CAR -10.0
Strong favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 31
13
pts
CIN
BAL *
CIN -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
32 - 14
12
pts
NYG
NE *
NYG -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
15 - 33
11
pts
CHI
PHI *
CHI -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 15
10
pts
DEN *
WAS
WAS -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
27 - 26
9
pts
JAX *
TEN
TEN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
25 - 3
8
pts
SF *
CLE
CLE -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
26 - 8
7
pts
NO
MIA *
NO -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
17 - 21
6
pts
ARI
TB *
ARI -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
17 - 20
5
pts
KC *
DAL
DAL -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 31
4
pts
HOU
IND *
HOU -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 16
3
pts
ATL *
NYJ
NYJ -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 27
2
pts
BUF *
PIT
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
26 - 7
1
pts
GB
DET *
GB -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 24
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.