Pick'em Mode
Week 12Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
87
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
82.9%
Percentage
9-5
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
 NYJ
@
 BAL
|
NYJ -14.0
Lock
|
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 23
|
| 13 |
 NYG
@
 DET
|
NYG -14.0
Lock
|
Correct
+13 pts
27 - 34
|
| 12 |
 SEA
@
 TEN
|
TEN -12.5
Strong favorite
|
Correct
+12 pts
30 - 24
|
| 11 |
 NE
@
 CIN
|
CIN -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+11 pts
26 - 20
|
| 10 |
 CAR
@
 SF
|
CAR -7.5
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+10 pts
9 - 20
|
| 9 |
 TB
@
 LA
|
TB -7.0
Clear favorite
|
Correct
+9 pts
7 - 34
|
| 8 |
 MIN
@
 GB
|
MIN -6.5
Moderate favorite
|
Correct
+8 pts
6 - 23
|
| 7 |
 BUF
@
 HOU
|
HOU -5.5
Moderate favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 23
|
| 6 |
 IND
@
 KC
|
IND -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+6 pts
20 - 23
|
| 5 |
 CLE
@
 LV
|
CLE -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 10
|
| 4 |
 PIT
@
 CHI
|
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+4 pts
28 - 31
|
| 3 |
 PHI
@
 DAL
|
DAL -3.0
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
21 - 24
|
| 2 |
 JAX
@
 ARI
|
ARI -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 24
|
| 1 |
 ATL
@
 NO
|
ATL -1.5
Toss-up
|
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 10
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.