Pick'em Mode
Week 11Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
96
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
80.0%
Percentage
11-4
Record
0
Pending
15
pts
NYJ
NE *
NYJ -12.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
14 - 27
14
pts
GB *
NYG
NYG -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
27 - 20
13
pts
BAL *
CLE
CLE -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
23 - 16
12
pts
TB
BUF *
TB -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
32 - 44
11
pts
HOU *
TEN
TEN -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
16 - 13
10
pts
CIN
PIT *
CIN -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
12 - 34
9
pts
CAR
ATL *
CAR -4.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 27
8
pts
KC *
DEN
DEN -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 22
7
pts
DAL *
LV
LV -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
33 - 16
6
pts
SF *
ARI
ARI -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
41 - 22
5
pts
SEA
LA *
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
19 - 21
4
pts
CHI
MIN *
CHI -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 17
3
pts
LAC *
JAX
JAX -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
6 - 35
2
pts
DET
PHI *
DET -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+2 pts
9 - 16
1
pts
WAS
MIA *
WAS -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+1 pts
13 - 16
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.