Pick'em Mode
Week 13Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
118
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
86.8%
Percentage
11-5
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
LV
KC *
LV -13.5
Strong favorite
Correct
+16 pts
17 - 19
15
pts
CHI
DET *
CHI -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+15 pts
20 - 23
14
pts
SF
BUF *
SF -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 35
13
pts
TB *
CAR
CAR -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+13 pts
26 - 23
12
pts
CLE
DEN *
CLE -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
32 - 41
11
pts
TEN
WAS *
TEN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
19 - 42
10
pts
NYG
DAL *
NYG -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
20 - 27
9
pts
ARI
MIN *
ARI -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+9 pts
22 - 23
8
pts
MIA
GB *
MIA -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
17 - 30
7
pts
HOU *
JAX
JAX -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
23 - 20
6
pts
PHI
BAL *
PHI -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
24 - 19
5
pts
PIT
CIN *
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
44 - 38
4
pts
IND
NE *
NE -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
25 - 24
3
pts
LA *
NO
NO -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
21 - 14
2
pts
LAC
ATL *
ATL -1.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 13
1
pts
SEA
NYJ *
SEA -1.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 21
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.