Pick'em Mode
Week 10Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
78
Points Earned
105
Points Possible
74.3%
Percentage
9-5
Record
0
Pending
14
pts
TEN
LAC *
TEN -8.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
17 - 27
13
pts
DEN
KC *
DEN -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
14 - 16
12
pts
PHI *
DAL
DAL -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
34 - 6
11
pts
MIN *
JAX
JAX -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+11 pts
12 - 7
10
pts
NE
CHI *
NE -6.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
19 - 3
9
pts
NYG *
CAR
CAR -6.5
Moderate favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 20
8
pts
SF *
TB
TB -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
23 - 20
7
pts
CIN
BAL *
CIN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+7 pts
34 - 35
6
pts
BUF *
IND
IND -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+6 pts
30 - 20
5
pts
DET *
HOU
HOU -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+5 pts
26 - 23
4
pts
ATL *
NO
NO -3.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 20
3
pts
MIA
LA *
MIA -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 15
2
pts
NYJ
ARI *
ARI -2.0
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
6 - 31
1
pts
PIT
WAS *
PIT -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 27
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-14 to each pick.
1= least confident,14= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.