Pick'em Mode
Week 9Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
104
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
86.7%
Percentage
12-3
Record
0
Pending
15
pts
DEN
BAL *
DEN -9.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+15 pts
10 - 41
14
pts
TB
KC *
TB -9.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
24 - 30
13
pts
LV
CIN *
LV -8.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
24 - 41
12
pts
JAX
PHI *
JAX -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+12 pts
23 - 28
11
pts
NO *
CAR
CAR -7.0
Clear favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
22 - 23
10
pts
IND
MIN *
IND -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
13 - 21
9
pts
MIA
BUF *
MIA -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
27 - 30
8
pts
WAS *
NYG
NYG -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
27 - 22
7
pts
DAL
ATL *
DAL -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
21 - 27
6
pts
NE
TEN *
NE -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
17 - 20
5
pts
HOU
NYJ *
HOU -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+5 pts
13 - 21
4
pts
DET *
GB
GB -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
24 - 14
3
pts
LAC
CLE *
CLE -2.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 10
2
pts
LA
SEA *
SEA -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
26 - 20
1
pts
CHI
ARI *
CHI -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
9 - 29
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.