Pick'em Mode
Week 21Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
3
Points Earned
3
Points Possible
100.0%
Percentage
2-0
Record
0
Pending
| Pts | Matchup | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
 NE
@
 DEN
|
DEN -3.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+2 pts
10 - 7
|
| 1 |
 LA
@
 SEA
|
LA -2.5
Slight favorite
|
Correct
+1 pts
27 - 31
|
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-2 to each pick.
1= least confident,2= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.