Pick'em Mode
Week 7Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
101
Points Earned
120
Points Possible
84.2%
Percentage
11-4
Record
0
Pending
15
pts
CAR
WAS *
CAR -10.0
Strong favorite
Correct
+15 pts
7 - 40
14
pts
TEN
BUF *
TEN -9.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
10 - 34
13
pts
LV
LA *
LV -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+13 pts
15 - 20
12
pts
NE
JAX *
NE -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
16 - 32
11
pts
CIN *
CLE
CLE -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
21 - 14
10
pts
BAL *
TB
TB -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
41 - 31
9
pts
HOU
GB *
HOU -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+9 pts
22 - 24
8
pts
SEA
ATL *
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
34 - 14
7
pts
MIA
IND *
MIA -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
10 - 16
6
pts
PHI *
NYG
NYG -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+6 pts
28 - 3
5
pts
NYJ *
PIT
PIT -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
15 - 37
4
pts
KC
SF *
KC -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
28 - 18
3
pts
DEN *
NO
NO -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
33 - 10
2
pts
DET
MIN *
DET -1.0
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
31 - 29
1
pts
LAC
ARI *
ARI -1.0
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
15 - 17
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-15 to each pick.
1= least confident,15= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.