Pick'em Mode
Week 15Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
122
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
89.7%
Percentage
12-4
Record
0
Pending
16
pts
BAL *
NYG
NYG -16.5
Lock
Correct
+16 pts
35 - 14
15
pts
WAS *
NO
NO -7.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+15 pts
20 - 19
14
pts
CHI
MIN *
CHI -7.0
Clear favorite
Correct
+14 pts
12 - 30
13
pts
ATL *
LV
LV -6.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+13 pts
15 - 9
12
pts
NE
ARI *
NE -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
17 - 30
11
pts
CIN *
TEN
TEN -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
37 - 27
10
pts
PIT
PHI *
PIT -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+10 pts
13 - 27
9
pts
IND
DEN *
IND -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+9 pts
13 - 31
8
pts
KC *
CLE
CLE -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+8 pts
21 - 7
7
pts
NYJ *
JAX
JAX -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+7 pts
32 - 25
6
pts
TB
LAC *
TB -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
40 - 17
5
pts
LA
SF *
LA -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
12 - 6
4
pts
GB *
SEA
SEA -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+4 pts
30 - 13
3
pts
MIA
HOU *
MIA -2.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+3 pts
12 - 20
2
pts
DAL
CAR *
DAL -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
30 - 14
1
pts
BUF
DET *
BUF -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
48 - 42
How Pick'em Scoring Works
- Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
- Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick.
1= least confident,16= most confident. - Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
- Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
- Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
- Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
- Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.