Pick'em Mode

Week 1
Optimized Hybrid
Uses XGBoost model predictions for close games, Vegas favorites for lopsided matchups. Backtested 2018-2024: 73.8% of max points.
102
Points Earned
136
Points Possible
75.0%
Percentage
10-6
Record
0
Pending
2025 Season
← Week 22 Week 1 Week 2 →
Full Predictions
Pts Matchup Spread Result
16
TENTEN @ DENDEN
2025-09-07 16:05 Favorite
TEN -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+16 pts
12 - 20
15
DALDAL @ PHIPHI
2025-09-04 20:20 Favorite
DAL -8.5
Clear favorite
Correct
+15 pts
20 - 24
14
NYGNYG @ WASWAS
2025-09-07 13:00 Favorite
NYG -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+14 pts
6 - 21
13
ARIARI @ NONO
2025-09-07 13:00 Favorite
NO -6.0
Moderate favorite
Correct
+13 pts
20 - 13
12
CINCIN @ CLECLE
2025-09-07 13:00 Favorite
CLE -5.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+12 pts
17 - 16
11
CARCAR @ JAXJAX
2025-09-07 13:00 Favorite
CAR -4.5
Moderate favorite
Correct
+11 pts
10 - 26
10
HOUHOU @ LALA
2025-09-07 16:25 Favorite
HOU -3.5
Slight favorite
Correct
+10 pts
9 - 14
9
KCKC @ LACLAC
2025-09-05 20:00 Favorite
LAC -3.0
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
21 - 27
8
PITPIT @ NYJNYJ
2025-09-07 13:00 Favorite
NYJ -3.0
Slight favorite
Correct
+8 pts
34 - 32
7
LVLV @ NENE
2025-09-07 13:00 Model
LV -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
20 - 13
6
MINMIN @ CHICHI
2025-09-08 20:15 Model
CHI -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
27 - 24
5
SFSF @ SEASEA
2025-09-07 16:05 Model
SEA -2.5
Slight favorite
Wrong
+0 pts
17 - 13
4
TBTB @ ATLATL
2025-09-07 13:00 Model
ATL -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
23 - 20
3
MIAMIA @ INDIND
2025-09-07 13:00 Model
MIA -1.5
Toss-up
Wrong
+0 pts
8 - 33
2
DETDET @ GBGB
2025-09-07 16:25 Model
DET -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+2 pts
13 - 27
1
BALBAL @ BUFBUF
2025-09-07 20:20 Model
BUF -1.5
Toss-up
Correct
+1 pts
40 - 41

How Pick'em Scoring Works

  1. Pick the Winner: For each game, pick which team will win straight-up (no spread).
  2. Rank by Confidence: Assign confidence rankings 1-16 to each pick. 1 = least confident, 16 = most confident.
  3. Earn Points: If your pick is correct, you earn points equal to your confidence ranking.
  4. Strategy: This page uses the Optimized Hybrid strategy:
    • Close games (spread < 3 pts): Trust the XGBoost model predictions
    • Lopsided games (spread ≥ 3 pts): Trust the Vegas favorite
  5. Backtest Result: This hybrid strategy scores ~73.8% of maximum possible points over 7 years (2018-2024), outperforming "always favorite" by +1.3 percentage points.