MLB Slate
2026-07-02 · probable pitchers, market lines & model context
Games today
9
First pitch
12:35 PM
Final
9
Moneyline model win rate 55.3% vs market close 57.5%.
Today's slate
9 games
| Time | Matchup | Probables (ERA · K/9) | Status | Market ML (A/H) | Total | Mkt H% | Model H% | Agreement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 PM |
Pittsburgh Pirates 43-44
@ Philadelphia Phillies 49-38
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
6–1
|
+116 / -125 | 10.5 | 55% | — | — |
| 2:10 PM |
Cincinnati Reds 39-46
@ Milwaukee Brewers 53-31
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
7–2
|
+182 / -201 | 7 | 66% | — | — |
| 3:10 PM |
Miami Marlins 46-41
@ Colorado Rockies 34-53
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–14
|
-128 / +119 | 12 | 45% | — | — |
| 6:40 PM |
Chicago White Sox 45-40
@ Cleveland Guardians 45-42
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
5–6
|
+100 / -108 | 8.5 | 51% | 57% | model leans home |
| 7:15 PM |
St. Louis Cardinals 44-39
@ Atlanta Braves 50-34
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
11–5
|
+102 / -111 | 9 | 52% | 59% | model leans home |
| 7:40 PM |
Tampa Bay Rays 50-33
@ Kansas City Royals 35-52
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
5–2
|
-118 / +109 | 10 | 47% | 47% | agrees within 3 pts |
| 8:05 PM |
Detroit Tigers 38-49
@ Texas Rangers 44-43
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
4–10
|
-105 / -103 | 7.5 | 50% | 54% | model leans home |
| 9:40 PM |
Los Angeles Angels 36-51
@ Seattle Mariners 44-43
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
0–1
|
+191 / -210 | 7 | 67% | 62% | model leans away |
| 10:10 PM |
San Diego Padres 43-42
@ Los Angeles Dodgers 56-31
|
TBD
TBD
|
Final
7–12
|
+181 / -199 | 9.5 | 66% | 63% | model leans away |